Friday, 30 August 2019

Lib Dems hold Shetland but SNP obtain significent swing

The Lib Dem candidate Beatrice Wishart may have fought off a strong challenge from the SNP to hold Shetland in a Holyrood by-election.
However it was quite an achievement for the SNP to obtain a 14% swing despite being the incumbent government  in Holyrood  for over 12 years
She succeeds Tavish Scott, who had been MSP for the constituency since 1999 in what was Scotland's safest seat.
Ms Wishart polled 5,659 votes, ahead of SNP candidate Tom Wills on 3,827, a majority of 1,837.
The Lib Dems saw their majority more than halved from 4,895 in 2016 as the SNP benefitted from a 14.4% swing.
With 11,835 votes cast, the turnout was 66.5%, up from 62% in the 2016 Scottish Parliament election.
2019 Shetland by-election[6]
LabourJohan Adamson1521.28-4.6
ConservativeBrydon Goodlad4253.59-0.1
UKIPStuart Martin600.51+0.51
Scottish GreenDebra Nicolson1891.59+1.59
No descriptionIan Scott660.56+0.56
IndependentMichael Stout1341.13+1.13
IndependentPeter Tait310.26+0.26
IndependentRyan Thomson126610.69+10.9
SNPTom Wills382232.29+9.3
Liberal DemocratsBeatrice Wishart565946.81-19.5
[[|N/A]] holdSwing

Previous Result[edit]

2016 Scottish Parliament election: Shetland
Liberal DemocratsTavish Scott7,44067.4+19.9
SNPDanus Skene2,54523.1+11.0
LabourRobina Barton6515.9-0.7
ConservativeCameron Smith4053.7+0.2
Liberal Democrats holdSwing

This was one of the safest seats in the  Scottish Parliament and clearly although they poured resources into but  they didn't win to achieve a 14.4% a seat , that has been been part of the Liberal stronghold of Orkney and Shetland  with only a few blips since we had any form of universal franchise.
1873 by-electionSamuel LaingLiberal
1885Leonard LyellLiberal
1900Cathcart WasonLiberal Unionist
1902 by-electionIndependent Liberal
1918Coalition Liberal
1921 by-electionMalcolm SmithCoalition Liberal
1922Robert HamiltonLiberal
1935Basil Neven-SpenceConservative
1950Jo GrimondLiberal
1983Jim WallaceLiberal
1987Liberal Democrat
2001Alistair CarmichaelLiberal Democrat

Ms Wishart said she was honoured "to make a little bit of history by becoming the first female parliamentarian in Shetland" after a "roller-coaster" campaign.
"Shetland has once again rejected Scottish nationalism and shown that it has not been taken in by the bullying tactics," she said.
"My work will start on Monday to get the Scottish government to take action on its empty promises for fair ferry funding, to improve nursery provision, mental health care, broadband - the key strands of my positive campaign for Shetland."
I am not sure what she means by broadband as its not a devolved issue in my understanding.
Not sure about positive campaign as well
Lib Dem  MSP Alex Cole-Hamilton was criticised for a tweet about a conversation between SNP youth activists which he "overheard" in Lerwick. 

The Edinburgh Western MSP posted: "Overheard conversation yesterday in Lerwick: @theSNP youth activists out canvassing, resting on a wall and looking at 3 blocks of flats. 'F this, can’t be bothered, let’s just mark them all as SNP and head back the office.' Memo to SNP: don’t rely on your data #Shetland".

Overheard conversation yesterday in Lerwick: @theSNP youth activists out canvassing, resting on a wall and looking at 3 blocks of flats.

“F this, can’t be bothered, let’s just mark them all as SNP and head back the office.”

Memo to SNP: don’t rely on your data 🙊😂

1,250 people are talking about this

In response, SNP staffer Chris Jones called the post an "awful smear" and said the activists weren't in Lerwick yesterday.

The Holyrood by-election was sparked by the resignation of Mr Scott, who quit politics in July to take a job with Scottish Rugby.

Mr Scott, a former leader of the Scottish Lib Dems, had held the seat since the creation of the Scottish Parliament in 1999.
Finally the poor old conservative saw his main plank taken away from him when his leader resigned on the day of the elction
Stil at least it didn't have Boris Johnson on it.

1 comment:

Jim Morris said...

Not trusting the election process for a minute, what was the postal turnout and the postal result?