Cardiff Central is probably the only seat in Wales that could be described as a three way marginal At the last election> Jenny Willot held the seat for that she gained from Labour in 2005
|General Election 2010: Cardiff Central|
|Liberal Democrat||Jenny Willott||14,976||41.4||−8.4|
|Plaid Cymru||Chris Williams||1,246||3.4||-0.1|
|Monster Raving Loony||Mark Beech (A.K.A.- 'The Good Knight Sir NosDa')||142||0.4||+0.4|
|Liberal Democrat hold||Swing||−1.4|
Now according to Lord Ashcroft she is likely to lose it
The poll puts thr Parties on
Lib Dem 12%
Maybe the rel int rest here is the spread of votes at 6% Plaid and the Greens would have thier largest share (Paltry as it is) in the constituency). and the 8% for Ukip whilst much higher than 2010 doesn't point to them making huge inroads into Wales.
Its unlikely that Plaid and Green voters will switch to the LIb Dems this time after the latter becomes Toxic when it became bag carriers to the Tories in the Coalition Government.
Of course things can sand will change in the run up to the General Election .
In Cardiff Central the Lib Dems have had one of the most formidable Constituency organisation in the UK let alone Wales but I suspect it will a uphill struggle this time.
Iindeedif this was reflected throughout Wales they could Welsh lose all their Welsh seats and even Mark Williams sitting on a comfortably Majority must be nervous
|General Election 2010: Ceredigion|
|Liberal Democrat||Mark Williams||19,139||50.0||+13.5|
|Plaid Cymru||Penri James||10,815||28.3||-7.6|
|Liberal Democrat hold||Swing||+10.6|
|General Election 2005: Ceredigion|
|Liberal Democrat||Mark Williams||13,130||36.53||+9.66|
|Plaid Cymru||Simon Thomas||12,911||35.92||-2.35|
|Liberal Democrat gain from Plaid Cymru||Swing||+6.0|