Wednesday, 17 September 2014

Even fair funding from Barnett is still "Cap in Hand".

Back at Subordinate cCentral  "La Pasionaria" claims that
"The vow taken by the three UK party leaders to protect the Barnett formula in Scotland does not mean that the formula cannot be reformed for Wales".
Well if it does surely it will not be the Barnett formula if it is applied differently  in wales and Scotland.
She writes
Liberal Democrats have already made a manifesto commitment to update the analysis of the Holtham Commission, and top-up the Welsh block grant to an equitable funding level. Holtham suggests that Wales is currently underfunded by around £350million.
The fact that Wales is badly funded under the current form of Barnett is well-known by now. This is why the Liberal Democrats have already committed to giving more money to Wales, and ensuring that Wales’ funding can never again fall to such unfair levels.
There is absolutely nothing in the commitment made by the UK party leaders today that jeopardises the fight for fair funding for Wales – in fact, it specifically mentions the need to fairly fund all of the UK’s nations. The people of Wales will see through Plaid’s desperate attempts at spin and recognise the genuine attempts to work and create a better, federal Union.
The events of the past few months have shown to me the need for all parties to work together and decide where Wales stands inside a reformed UK. If we don’t put aside our differences and build a consensus, the voice of Wales will almost certainly be marginalised.”
So why hasn't Nick  Clegg already  used hs position in Government to argue fr this already.

If the Party Leaders are so determined to give more powers to Scotland why leave it until the eve of the referendum to make the " Vow"
Vow: The promise to Scotland's voters was delivered on the front page of the left-wing Daily Record newspaper

If this was sincere why couldn't a similar Vow be made in Wales at the same time?

Mind you could we trust a Lib Dem "Pledge"?

I think not,

Her claim that
The fact that Wales is badly funded under the current form of Barnett is well-known by now. This is why the Liberal Democrats have already committed to giving more money to Wales, and ensuring that Wales’ funding can never again fall to such unfair levels.

Is an easy one to make but again your Party is in coalition at Westminster Kirsrty. Where is the evidence that underfunding in Wales has been even mentioned at Cabinet meetings.  

The so called vow states ..

" We agree that the UK exists to ensure opportunity and security for all by sharing our resources equitably across al four nations to secure the defence prosperity and welfare of every citizen"
I thought the UK existed because England  conquered Wales and Ireland  or forced Scotland into a Union against the will of the people

La "La Pasionaria" in desperation argues that 
The people of Wales will see through Plaid’s desperate attempts at spin and recognise the genuine attempts to work and create a better, federal Union.
Well its true Plaid will be using this to their own advantage  but lets face it if you had a choice between Plaid campaigning for fairer funding or the three main London parties who only made the "Vow" as the polls pointed to a possible YES vote you could be forgiven to at least consider the former.

Mind you is it not time we started arguing that its harmful for Wales to be dependent on 
funding from Westminster.

In the recent BBC Carwyn Jones stand Leighton Andrews  boasted of the "Millions of pounds of Welfare payments coming into Wales"

We should be asking "Why is Wales so dependent"?

The answer to me is because all our major decisions are made elsewhere often by people we never voted for.

Maybe it time we in Wales as the Proclaimers  in their campaign song

stopped going Cap in Hand.

Tuesday, 16 September 2014

Now is not the time of Faint hearts but Brave hearts

Yesterdays media went in a frenzy reporting that an old lady had broken her silence over the Scottish independence vote, saying she hopes Scots will "think very carefully" about the future when voting in a referendum that could break up the United Kingdom.

Coming out of a morning service at a church in Crathie near her Balmoral estate in Scotland on Sunday, responded to a remark from a well-wisher that they would not mention the referendum.

"I hope people will think very carefully about the future," The Times newspaper reported Elizabeth as saying.

But of course the media couldn't resist suggesting that Mrs Windsor was suggesting that people "think very carefully" and vote NO.

I think everyone would agree that all voting on Thursday should think carefully but if they need to take the advice of Queens maybe should consider. Elizabeth 1st  (Who was not Queen if Scotland) reply to Walter Raleigh on a window-pane,

Raleigh wrote

"Fain would I climb, yet fear I to fall".
,prompting Elizabeth I to add

 "If thy heart fails thee, climb not at all".
Now is not the time of Faint hearts but Brave hearts

Monday, 15 September 2014

"Wales for a United Kingdom" has very little Welsh input.

 Some of you may be aware there's a Facepost page "Wales for a United Kingdom" It however seems to be "Liked by 2554 people but most seem to be living outside Wales. Have look at at see how many of the contributors 

They include  this picture  of about 200 "hands across the Boarder supporters at Gretna

Of course all you have to do  us flip it and Independence is nearly ON

it seems they get upset when "Nationalists" have a go at them for using the BBC Proms in the Park as a Better Together Symbol

We had a major attack on this page last night from the nationalists because we posted about the BBC proms in the park. Just to be loud and clear there was a record attendance last night in Swansea for the British proms, record attendance in Glasgow, record attendance in London and record attendance in Northern Ireland. If you want to see how Wales really feels about independence all you have to do is check out the polls
Well okay they may have a point about the Polls in wales  but the proms in the Park wasn't attended  by people showing their live for the Union  it was a free Concert  playing  music they wanted to listen to.

But the sheer duplicity  of a Wales for the United Kingdom page  which seems  to have very little Welsh input  show how the Better Together campaign works  that they have to create a Welsh Page that claims to have over 2000 likes but most of who don't even live here.

Have a look at it and have a laugh.

Sunday, 14 September 2014

Cardiff YES Rally becomes part of the YES Vibe

I managed to attend   *Wales Supporting YES* Rally yesterday  I imagine the 500 odd turn out was about the organised expected  much more and we would be spilling out on to the streets below and causing congestion

Mind you it was nothing  compared to what was happening in Scotland

Wings over Scotland show two photos one of the BBC coverage of events in Glasgow
Add caption
And one of the real event

Maybe the BBC is trying to be impartial and that they feel they can   only find a small number of NO campaigners  so have do the same for the YES campaign.

I took a peak at the Official Better Together campaign and even they don't  have photo's  that even match Yesterday Cardiff Yes rally.

And despite the Nay Sayers The Polls show that the momentum is with the YES campaign .

I may not have the credentials of Professor John Curtice but maybe he should lok at he figures again

Polling organisation/clientSample sizeYesNoUndecidedLead
14–20 JanTNS BMRB1,05429%42%29%13%
3–10 JanTNS BMRB/BBC Scotland1,00828%42%30%14%
21–24 JanICM/Scotland on Sunday1,00437%44%19%7%
21–27 JanYouGov1,19233%52%15%19%
29–31 JanSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,01032%52%16%20%
3–5 FebYouGov/The Sun1,04734%52%14%18%
29 Jan – 6 FebPanelbase/Sunday Times1,01237%49%14%12%
28 Jan – 6 FebTNS BMRB99629%42%29%13%
13 FebChancellor of the Exchequer's speech on currency union
17–18 FebSurvation/Scottish Daily Mail1,00538%47%16%9%
18–21 FebPanelbase/Scottish National Party1,02237%47%16%10%
17–21 FebICM/Scotland on Sunday1,00437%49%14%12%
20–25 FebIpsosMORI/STV1,00132%57%11%25%
24–28 FebYouGov/Scottish Sun1,25735%53%12%18%
6–7 MarSurvation/Daily Record/Better Nation1,00239%48%13%9%
26 Feb – 9 MarTNS BMRB1,01928%42%30%14%
7–14 MarPanelbase/Newsnet Scotland1,03640%45%15%5%
18 MarRelease of Scottish Labour Devolution Commission Report
17–21 MarICM/Scotland on Sunday1,01039%46%15%7%
20–24 MarYouGov/The Times1,07237%52%11%15%
21 Mar – 2 AprTNS BMRB98829%41%30%12%
28 Mar – 4 AprPanelbase/Wings Over Scotland1,02541%46%14%5%
4–7 AprSurvation/Daily Record1,00237%47%16%10%
4–9 AprPanelbase/Yes Scotland1,02440%45%15%5%
11–15 AprSurvation/Sunday Post[dead link]1,00138%46%16%8%
14–16 AprICM/Scotland on Sunday1,00439%42%19%3%
25–28 AprYouGov/Channel 41,20837%51%12%14%
23 Apr – 2 MayTNS BMRB99630%42%28%12%
9–12 MaySurvation/Daily Record[dead link]1,00337%47%17%10%
8–14 MayPanelbase/Sunday Times1,04640%47%13%7%
12–15 MayICM/Scotland on Sunday1,00334%46%20%12%
21–28 MayTNS BMRB1,01130%42%28%12%
30 MayOfficial Campaign Period begins
26 May – 1 JunIpsos MORI/STV1,00336%54%10%18%
2 JunRelease of Scottish Conservatives Strathclyde Commission Report[6]
6–10 JunSurvation/Daily Record1,00439%44%17%5%
9–11 JunPanelbase/Yes Scotland1,06043%46%12%3%
9–12 JunICM/Scotland on Sunday1,00236%43%21%7%
16 JunRelease of the draft Scottish Independence Bill consultation paper[5]
12–16 JunYouGov/The Sun1,03936%53%11%17%
10–23 JunTNS BMRB/Scotland September 181,00432%46%22%14%
25–29 JunYouGov/The Times1,20635%54%12%19%
4–8 JulSurvation/Daily Record1,01341%46%13%5%
25 Jun – 9 JulTNS BMRB99532%41%27%9%
7–11 JulICM/Scotland on Sunday1,00234%45%21%11%
16–22 JulPanelbase/Sunday Times1,04141%48%11%7%
30 Jul – 1 AugSurvation/Mail on Sunday1,00040%46%14%6%
28 Jul – 3 AugIpsos MORI/STV1,00640%54%7%14%
5 AugBroadcast of Salmond & Darling: The Debate
6–7 AugSurvation/Scottish Daily Mail1,01037%50%13%13%
4–7 AugYouGov/The Sun1,14235%55%10%20%
23 Jul – 7 AugTNS BMRB1,00332%45%23%13%
11–14 AugICM/Scotland on Sunday1,00538%47%14%9%
12–15 AugYouGov/The Times1,08538%51%11%13%
12–15 AugPanelbase/Yes Scotland1,02642%46%12%4%
25 AugBroadcast of Scotland Decides: Salmond versus Darling
26–28 AugSurvation/Scottish Daily Mail1,00141%47%12%6%
28 Aug – 1 SepYouGov/The Times/The Sun1,06342%48%10%6%
2–4 SepPanelbase/Yes Scotland1,04244%48%8%4%
27 Aug – 4 SepTNS-BMRB99038%39%23%1%
2–5 SepYouGov/The Sunday Times1,08447%45%7%2%
5–9 SepSurvation/Daily Record1,00042%48%10%6%
10–12 SepSurvation/Better Together1,04442%49%9%7%
11 SepBroadcast of Scotland Decides: The Big, Big Debate
9–11 SepOpinium/The Observer Scotland1,05543%47%10%4%
9–11 SepICM/Guardian1,00040%42%17%2%
9–11 SepYouGov/The Times/The Sun1,26845%50%5%4%

Since January the  No lead has narrowed from 13% to the latest Poll of Polls  which has NO on 51% and YES on 49%

What in January looked like a emphatic YES vote it now close to call .

Unless maybe among those on the Street who may be experiancing a vibe not reflected by the pollsters  and it seems from here that this vibe is a YES vote.