Two seats in the valleys have the largest numbers of potential Ukip supporters of all Labour-held seats according to two political researchers.Labour and indeed Plaid however will probably not be thrown into a panic because the Mule then adds
Authors of a book called ‘Revolt on the Right’ have described Rhondda, which has an 11,553 Labour majority, as the most Ukip leaning Labour-held seat while Blaenau Gwent, with a Labour majority of 10,516, comes second.
Rob Ford and Matthew Goodwin studied the demographics of voters in seats across England and Wales and identified Ukip voters as those who feel they have been ‘left behind’ and older white working class many of whom left school at 16.
But rather than assessing an immediate threat to Labour strong-holds their research reveals the potential for such seats to switch.
“In terms of the kind of voters that live in them these are seats that have an awful lot of white older voters who left school at 16.”Mr Ford said they made up the majority of Ukip’s support in contrast to voters from ethnic minorities, those with university educations who were economically secure and who had remained unconvinced by Ukip’s message.
Doorstep chats with more than 18,000 voters in 90 working-class communities across the country showed almost two-thirds of voters in favour of independence once the undecideds were stripped out.
The Radical Independence Campaign (RIC), which carried out the survey, said it was the largest public canvass sample in the referendum to date.