It is beginning to look that the Northern Ireland Assembly may not convene after nearly a year after the last Assembly Elections the
Sinn Féin leader Mary Lou McDonald
has said a draft agreement was in place last week to restore Northern
Ireland's power-sharing executive.
The talks ended on Wednesday after the DUP declared there was "no current prospect" of a deal. Ms McDonald said the agreement included an Irish language Act and the DUP was warned to "close the deal before those opposed to it could unpick" it.
However, DUP leader Arlene Foster said that no draft agreement was in place.
Mrs Foster told Sky News that Sinn Féin "certainly didn't have an offer of an Irish language act".
She said,
"We didn't reach an agreement,"
"I regret that we didn't reach an agreement - they were insisting that they have this stand-alone Irish language act and that is not something I could sign up to - I have always been very clear about that."
But do the DUP want a deal where it will power share in Stormont when it can pull the strings in Westminster where the deal between the Conservatives and
the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) includes an extra £1bn in public
spending for Northern Ireland.
They may well be alarmed that Unionists are loosing their majority in Stormont. where since the first pst Good Friday Agreement Elections although they have replaced the Ulster Unionist as the main party of Unionism.Sinn Féin is heading to become the largest party there in the future
1996 Elections 108 seats.
Party | Votes | Vote % | Constituency seats |
Top-up seats |
Total seats |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UUP | 181,829 | 24.17 | 28 | 2 | 30 | |
SDLP | 160,786 | 21.36 | 19 | 2 | 21 | |
DUP [1] | 141,413 | 18.80 | 22 | 2 | 24 | |
Sinn Féin | 116,377 | 15.47 | 15 | 2 | 17 | |
Alliance | 49,176 | 6.54 | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
UK Unionist | 27,774 | 3.69 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
PUP | 26,082 | 3.47 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Ulster Democratic | 16,715 | 2.22 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
NI Women's Coalition | 7,731 | 1.03 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Labour coalition | 6,425 | 0.85 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Green (NI) | 3,647 | 0.49 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2017 Elections 90 seats
Party | Leader | Seats | Votes[41] | NI Executive Seats |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Candi- dates |
won | Change from 2016 |
Change from notional |
First Preference votes |
First Pref. % |
Change from 2016 |
Seats | Change from 2016 |
|||
DUP | Arlene Foster | 38 | 28 | 10 | 5 | 225,413 | 28.1% | 1.1% | |||
Sinn Féin | Michelle O'Neill | 34 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 224,245 | 27.9% | 3.9% | |||
SDLP | Colum Eastwood | 21 | 12 | 1 | 95,958 | 11.9% | 0.1% | ||||
UUP | Mike Nesbitt | 24 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 103,314 | 12.9% | 0.3% | |||
Alliance | Naomi Long | 21 | 8 | 72,717 | 9.1% | 2.1% | |||||
Green (NI) | Steven Agnew | 18 | 2 | 18,527 | 2.3% | 0.4% | |||||
TUV | Jim Allister | 14 | 1 | 20,523 | 2.6% | 0.9% | |||||
People Before Profit | Eamonn McCann | 7 | 1 | 1 | 14,100 | 1.8% | 0.2% | ||||
PUP | Billy Hutchinson | 3 | 0 | 5,590 | 0.7% | 0.2% | |||||
NI Conservatives | Emma Pidding | 13 | 0 | 2,399 | 0.3% | 0.1% | |||||
Labour Alternative | Owen McCracken | 4 | 0 | 2,009 | 0.3% | ||||||
UKIP | None | 1 | 0 | 1,579 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |||||
CISTA | Barry Brown | 3 | 0 | 1,273 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |||||
Workers' Party | John Lowry | 5 | 0 | 1,261 | 0.2% | ||||||
Independents | N/A | 22 | 1 | 1 | 14,407 | 1.8% | 1.5% |
This appears to be the pattern where those Members of the Legislative Assembly (MLA's ) who are designated as Unionist have been falling over the last twenty years.
Which parties can appoint ministers to the Northern Ireland Executive is determined by a combination of mandatory coalition, the D'Hondt method and cross-community support, depending on the role, as explained above. Coalitions of between three and five parties have governed over the Assembly's history. The Executive of the Sixth Assembly has yet to be formed.
In effect, major parties cannot be excluded from participation in government and power-sharing is enforced by the system. The form of government is therefore known as mandatory coalition as opposed to voluntary coalition where parties negotiate an agreement to share power. The Democratic Unionist Party (DUP), the Ulster Unionist Party (UUP), the Alliance Party of Northern Ireland and some Social Democratic and Labour Party (SDLP) members favour a move towards voluntary coalition in the longer term but this is currently opposed by Sinn Féin.
Could it be that the DUP foresee the day when there is a majority voluntary coalition of "designated nationalists" and in Stormont and would be prepared to se the end of Stormont before seeing Sinn Féin's Michelle O'Neill or at least her successor installed as First Minster.
Although they have been opposed to a Hard Boarder also fear that some of those who have voted Unionist may well see a United Ireland which would be in the European Union as preferable to a divided Ireland in which they are part of an isolated UK , begging for Trade Deals with the USA and China no matter how unfavourable?
where they are tied to Can they encouraged with the
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