Wednesday, 10 April 2013

Anglesey Council Elections can any one predict the result?

A part for Byelections  election to the Isle of Anglesey County Council[will be the only one  held at the same time as other United Kingdom local elections on May 2nd , 2013.the election having been postponed from 2012 by the Welsh Government, in order to allow an electoral review to take place.
Even seasoned students of voting patterns will have trouble predicting this one as there as will be 30 councillors elected (a reduction from the previous 40). in multi ward seats.

Aethwy (3), formed by the Communities of Llanfair Pwllgwyngyll, Menai Bridge and Penmynydd
Bro Aberffraw (2), formed by the Communities of Aberffraw, Bodorgan and Rhosyr
Bro Rhosyr (2), formed by the Communities of Llanidan, Llanfihangel Ysceifiog, Llanddaniel Fab and Llangristiolus
Caergybi (3), the electoral wards of Town, London Road, Morawelon, Porthyfelin, and Parc a'r Mynydd in the Community of Holyhead
Canolbarth Môn (Central Anglesey) (3), the Communities of Bryngwran, Bodffordd, Llangefni, and Trewalchmai, and the electoral wards of Llanddyfnan, Llangwyllog and Tregacan in the Community of Llanddyfnan.
Llifôn (2), the Communities of Llanfaelog, Llanfair-yn-Neubwll and Valley
Lligwy (3), the Communities of Moelfre, Llaneugrad, Llanfair-Mathafarn-Eithaf and Pentraeth; and the electoral ward of Llanfihangel Tre'r Beirdd in the Community of Llanddyfnan
Seiriol (3), formed by the Communities of Beaumaris, Cwm Cadnant, Llanddona, and Llangoed.
Talybolion (3), formed by the Communities of Bodedern, Cylch-y-garn, Llannerch-y-medd, Llanfachreth, Llanfaethlu, Mechell and Tref Alaw
Twrcelyn (3), the Communities of Amlwch, Llanbadrig, Llaneilian, and Rhosybol
Ynys Gybi (Holy Island) (3), the Communities of Trearddur and Rhoscolyn and the electoral wards of Maeshyfryd and Kingsland in the Community of Holyhead

The delay in caling the election and the creation of multi member seats means that there are a high number of candidates (107) with the political parties Plaid Labour Tories and Ukip  putting up a number of candidates against the traditional Independents who have dominated the Island.
Its probably indicative of their political position and their own lack of confidence that the LidDems can only put up a handful of candidates. 
Labour look likely to win on their Holyhead stronghold whilst Plaid could well be the largest party after May 2nd
A full list of the 107 candidates for the 30 can be seen here,
For supporters of STV these elections will provide insight on what the result would be if this election was held under that system.
The question however how long before this council will be in existence for?
With call for merging smaller councils into larger authorities , It may not be long before the Boundary Commission for Wales:are called back to the Island to redraw the wards once again.

Update 3:40 PM

Thanks  to the The Anglesey Telegraph  wh has provided a link to this forum which gives a detailed analysis of each ward and candidates. Here

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