So now no longer Prime Minister the prospect of being an ordinary backbencher does not appeal to David Cameron and he will resign his seat of Witney .
In the face of it there will be no problem for Tories in retaining the seat
However some of Camerons votes surely come from his high profile when he first stood in 2001 did not have the dominance he has now
Even if you look at the last vote nearly 40% of those who turned up to vote did not vote for Cameron even though it was clear to them he was going to win.
With Labour likely at war with itself and Ukip perhaps floundering in finding a unique selling point after the Brexit referendum who will voters to in an Anti-Tory vote
Well maybe the LibDems bit a few council byelection gains are not totally convincing as an indication that they are making a recovery which will take them back to anything like their pre 2015 level.
Plaid and the SNP could offer help in the organisation of the Green (Progressive Alliance) Byelection whilst not making a presence that results in the Daily Mail going into apoplectic fit.
I know this seems unlikely but if we a to have a real Progressive alternative to the Tories we need to take this opportunity.
In the face of it there will be no problem for Tories in retaining the seat
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ± | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | David Cameron | 35,201 | 60.2 | +1.4 | |
Labour | Duncan Enright | 10,046 | 17.2 | +4.2 | |
UKIP | Simon Strutt | 5,352 | 9.2 | +5.7 | |
Liberal Democrat | Andy Graham | 3,953 | 6.8 | -12.7 | |
Green | Stuart Sutherland MacDonald | 2,970 | 5.1 | +0.9 | |
National Health Action | Clive Peedell | 616 | 1.1 | N/A | |
Wessex Regionalist | Colin Roland Bex | 110 | 0.2 | +0.1 | |
Independent | Christopher Tompson | 94 | 0.2 | N/A | |
Reduce VAT in Sport | Vivien Inez Saunders | 56 | 0.1 | N/A | |
Give Me Back Elmo | Bobby Smith | 37 | 0.1 | N/A | |
Land Party | Deek Jackson | 35 | 0.1 | N/A | |
Independent | Nathan Paul Handley | 12 | 0.02 | N/A | |
Majority | 25,155 | 43.0 | +3.6 | ||
Turnout | 58,482 | 73.3 | +0.00 | ||
Conservative hold | Swing | -1.4 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ± | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conservative | David Cameron | 22,153 | 45.0 | +2.0 | |
Labour | Michael Bartlet | 14,180 | 28.8 | -1.8 | |
Liberal Democrat | Gareth Epps | 10,000 | 20.3 | +0.5 | |
Green | Mark Stevenson | 1,100 | 2.2 | +1.1 | |
Independent | Barry Beadle | 1,003 | 2.0 | N/A | |
UKIP | Kenneth Dukes | 767 | 1.6 | +0.2 | |
Majority | 7,973 | 16.2 | +3.8 | ||
Turnout | 49,203 | 65.9 | -10.8 | ||
Conservative hold | Swing | +1.9 |
With Labour likely at war with itself and Ukip perhaps floundering in finding a unique selling point after the Brexit referendum who will voters to in an Anti-Tory vote
Well maybe the LibDems bit a few council byelection gains are not totally convincing as an indication that they are making a recovery which will take them back to anything like their pre 2015 level.
Does this mean that there is an alternative? With 5.1% of the vote the Greens may be far behind but the potential is still there .
With a little imagination they can put forward themselves as part of a "Progressive Alliance" of Parties like Plaid,SNP,Mebyon Kernow together with regional parties that offer a real alternative,
According to Wikipedia the Wessex Regionalist Party which has has stood in Witney is a Centre Left Party which pr emotes Wessex Regionalism,Civic nationalism,Social democracy, and Environmental protection so on paper an Ideal partner.
OK their vote is dismal but that does not mean there is no potential for arguing for Wesssx devolution
OK their vote is dismal but that does not mean there is no potential for arguing for Wesssx devolution
I know this seems unlikely but if we a to have a real Progressive alternative to the Tories we need to take this opportunity.
2 comments:
Good post Glyn. In these post brexit times and a nascent hard right british nationalism rearing its ugly head the progressive forces in the UK have to think of working together more. And if Jeremy Corbyn's labour wants to prevent the tories gaining a sizeable majority in 2020 he needs to give serious thought to being part of such a progressive alliance.
Please sign this petition asking progressive candidates to stand down and between them agree a single candidate to stand in the by-election on 20 October:
https://you.38degrees.org.uk/p/witney
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