National Left - Wales needs a progressive left future.
Saturday, 9 May 2015
The Election in Wales Party by Party
On a Night when the they were expecting to lose Cardiff North and gain Brecon Radnor the Conservatives are celebrating their best general election results in Wales for more than 30 years.
Held Cardiff North, and y won 11 of the 40 Welsh seats.
The party captured Gower by 27 votes, a constituency Labour had held for more than 100 years. yjr Tories also gained Brecon and Radnorshire from the Lib Dems and Vale of Clwyd from Labour. It all contributed to Cameron receiving a narrow majority in the House of Commons . However he may find like John Mayor in 1992 that it will be a Pyrrhic Victory and two spectres loom over him as the party split over the Euro Referendum and he's going to face a group of hostile SNP members who if well organised are going to make life difficult for him.
Labour: were at (keeping the 26 seats they won in 2010, and gaining both Cardiff Central from the Liberal Democrats and Cardiff North from the Conservatives); with hopes of Arfon ad Carmarhen East ad Dinefwr on a god night . But it was not meant to be.Annihilated in Scotland and not making anything like the gains they hoped for they paid the price for running scared of upsetting the Medias Barons (Who attacked them a\anyway) and attacking the Coalition austerity Programme. They may have a bruising leadership Election which will not help and the Spectre of Scotland and Europe also looms over them as well . How they address Scotland Will have implications for Wales
A complete disaster they are now a minor party losing two seats in Wales and hanging on to Ceredigion were ironically Mark Williams possibly the least visible of the lLibDems in Coalition held of a Plaid Challenge losing Cardiff Central and Brecon and Radnor they also lost votes throughout Wales where in 2010 they almost snatched a fair number of Labour seats . They will recover but it may take at least a decade and they will be very wary of going into coalition again. It is often the fate of coalition partners that they lose out in the next election. We will at least be spared the little bargraphs for a few years
A night that ent from expectation to hope to relief as the assault on Labour heartland ended badly in Llanelis, Cerdigion again failed to fall and Ynys Mon just evaded them. But as Arfon was held there wa sposibly a sigh of relief. With a high profile leader who may translate this into gains in the Welsh Assembly Elections Plaid are probably les bruised and battered than Labour or the LibDems but for tehm in the Valleys seats they have to make progress in the worry must be that they can't seam to muster the protest vote that Te LibDems had in 2010 and now seemed to have switched to Ukip.
Although not even coming in close to wining a Welsh seat they out poled Plaid in the number of votes for the whole of Wales and were second in many seats . Even with paper candidates like Carmarthen East and Diinefwr they received 4698 . How much this was due to the profile of Nigel Farage is open to question. But if his resignation as leader is to prove permanent . The party may wel seee a fall in support his influence and media Profile has been huge in the rise of Ukip can they continue to do so without him
Increased their vote throughout Wales and are now a permanent part of Welsh Politics may have high hopes of capturing an Assembly seat next year in some Wales in some ways they mirrored Plaid in being relieved to hold their Brighton seat as the hope of making gains faded