Sunday, 10 January 2016

Catalonia in race with Scotland to see who becomes Independent first.

In a welcome return Syniadau has been keeping  us abreast of the ongoing negotiations  in Catalonia to form a Government which can form a Government that has enough support to call and hold a Independence referendum.

 Last September  an Election was called to which was virtually a referendum to give the government support for Independence

It was the first one with a new Alliance t one in which Democratic Convergence of Catalonia (CDC) and Democratic Union of Catalonia (UDC) ran separately, after the dissolution of the Convergence and Union (CiU) coalition in June 2015. It was the first time this has happened in any kind of election since the 1977 general election. Instead, UDC ran on its own, while CDC ran together with Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC), Democrats of Catalonia (DC) and Left Movement (MES) under the Together for Yes (JxSí) platform, with support from members of the pro-independence Catalan National Assembly (ANC), Òmnium and the Municipalities' Association for Independence (AMI), with Artur Mas as the agreed presidential candidate.

Parliament of Catalonia election, 2015 results.svg
Party Vote Seats
Votes  % ±pp Won +/−

Together for Yes (JxSí) 1,620,973 39.54 Increase3.11 62 Increase4

Citizens-Party of the Citizenry (C's) 734,910 17.93 Increase10.36 25 Increase16

Socialists' Party of Catalonia (PSC-PSOE) 522,209 12.74 Decrease1.69 16 Decrease4

Catalonia Yes we Can (CSQP) 366,494 8.94 Decrease0.96 11 Decrease2

People's Party of Catalonia (PPC) 348,444 8.50 Decrease4.48 11 Decrease8

Popular Unity Candidacy (CUP) 336,375 8.20 Increase4.72 10 Increase7

Democratic Union of Catalonia (UDC) 102,870 2.51 Decrease5.47 0 Decrease13

Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 29,785 0.73 Increase0.16 0 ±0

Zero Cuts-The Greens (Recortes Cero-Els Verds) 14,390 0.35 Increase0.28 0 ±0

Let's Win Catalonia (Ganemos) 1,158 0.03 New 0 ±0

Pirates of Catalonia-To Decide Everything ( 326 0.01 Decrease0.49 0 ±0

Blank ballots 21,941 0.53 Decrease0.91

The Together for Yes (JxSí)for Yes Alliance narrowly failed to get a overall majority   and needed  the support of far-left, pro-Catalan independence political party Popular Unity Candidacy (CUP)

This as Mike from Syniadau points out (and more please) this left the independence Parties with three options

• The first possibility is that Artur Mas gets support (or that there are abstentions) from an unexpected source. It would be impossible to imagine the three Spanish unionist parties doing anything but voting against Mas. But it is possible that either one or two CUP members could be ... err ... persuaded, or one or two from Catalunya Sí que es Pot.
But it's only a possibility. CUP's objections to Mas centre on him being too right wing, and CSQP would have exactly the same objections. So I doubt that this will happen.
• The second, and to me most obvious, possibility is for Artur Mas to stand down as a candidate for President, and for someone else to stand instead. As I said in this post several months ago, this could be a figurehead President, with actual power in the hands of, say, two or three vice-Presidents ... and Mas could be one of these.
In essence, this would not be very different from the proposal that Junts pel Sí have already made, namely "a collegiate presidency composed of a President of the government and three government commissions".
• The third possibility is for there to be fresh elections.

It began to look that the Third option would have to taken with another election asking for a mandate but it now looks like  ng to look very much like Artur Mas has agreed to withdraw as a candidate to be the next President of the Catalan government, with Carles Puigdemont, the popular  CDC mayor of Girona, as the agreed compromise candidate. 

This will be confirmed, Today as the  (JxSí) and CUP's vote will mean that he will be elected by an absolute majority in tomorrow's emergency session of parliament.

If Catalonia does hold a referendum (which may be blocked by the Spanish Government) and if it is Successful it will be a boost for a second Scottish Independence  Referendum.

Indeed both may be in a Race to see which becomes the first to become an Independent Nation  But whoever crosses the line first .t would surely mean that the other is inspired to follow very soon afterwards and EU objections to admitting an Independent Catalonia  and/or Scotland. would wither away.

1 comment:

  1. Agree it is great to see more from Syniadau. Hope he has time to do an update on Welsh medium education. His previous blogs on the theme were well researched and informative.