Apart from the fact that Kettle seems to disregard Project Fear which saw amongst other things,
- George Robertson claiming Independence would rob the West of a major anchor of stability and solidarity at a difficult time
- George Galloway and the claims of Catholic persecution in an Independent Scotla
- and Labour joining with the Tories and LibDems to say Scotland will not be allowed to keep the pound
There's much more but the list is too long to quote on this post.
Kettle then evokes the possibility that Labour might even use a victory in the 2016 General Election to delay Independence
So what is Kettle suggesting that the Labour -Unionist may claim (Unless there's a SNP Landslide) the result as second referendum and that the Scots didn't really want Independence?If a yes victory is declared, how will the British Labour party, meeting for its party conference on the following day in Manchester, react? By promptly agreeing to expedite Scotland's departure? Dream on. A yes vote would explode into the UK party conference season. All the main parties would be destabilised in major ways.
Kettle goes on
AH there's the Silent majority again, or is it English Nationalism Kettle is referring to the worrying thin is he seems to be approving this scenario.
Meanwhile, what about the public mood? Views will not remain frozen unchangingly once the result is in. Nor will they inevitably remain benign and peaceful. Nationalist opinion could become more militant if the talks become bogged down.As far as I can see the Irish Civil War that followed the 1921 treaty was between those who wanted a Irish republic outside the British Empire (as it was then) and those who accepted an Irish Free State which seems to be similar to what the SNP are offering Scotland .Even acts of violence are not inconceivable in certain circumstances or places, as anyone with a smattering of knowledge of the Irish treaty of 1921 will grasp.”
Those negotiating for Independence will have a clear mandate the idea that some will accept a form of Devo-Max splitting the group seems far fetched.
So that's it Kettle may be right about this but as I said the worrying thing is he seems Kettle seems to approve .
But is this an argument against voting YES as Kettle appears to be arguing. Democracy should not take place because others particularly the current regime will not in the end accept it.
Talking of Kettle it is said that the Irish Land league leader Michael Davitt once introduced his colleague Andrew Kettle to a crowd with the words
Maybe the name of Marin Kettle of the Guardian should be known in every house in Scotland not for his doom laden, prophesy but because it expose the old adage cut a British Liberal and you get the same Unionist blood as ardent Tory.
The name of Kettle is known in every house in Ireland
As a potential scenario Kettle may be right and I raised a similar fear in a previous blog but that's no reason to vote NO