Sunday, 9 August 2015

SNP vote still growing with 5 election wins.

Last Thursdays  win in 5 Byelections  was remarkable  because although it reads as held four gained one because  the elections are held under STVit actually saw a remarkable rise in the SNP vote in wards that Labour were still dominant in.

 I I have used a combination of Association of Liberal Democrat Councillors (ALDC) and Harry Hayfields Political Betting Blogs  both are excellent   and maybe Harry has a hand in both .

As you can see  Labour  topped the first seat in every ward on First Preference vote and it therefore represents a swing to the party.

It is a pity that the Scottish Greens lost their seat in the Langside ward but their vote share increased overall in these elections and could see them making a fair number of gains in the Scottish Parliamentary Elections vis the Regional List next year.

But the SNP are still heading for another remarkable  result  in 2016 as they rapidly become the natural party of government.

GLASGOW UA, ANDERSTON/CITY- 6TH AUGUST 2015
August 6, 2015
Listed below is the first preference votes:
SNP 1,441 [48.1%; +19.3%]
Labour 857 [28.6%; -14%]
Green 414 [13.8%; -1.4%]
Conservative 164 [5.5%; -1.3%]
Liberal Democrat Gary McLelland 66 [2.2%; -0.2%]
UKIP 43 [1.4%; +1.4%]
Scottish Libertarians 12 [0.4%; +0.4%]
[Solidarity [0.0%; -2.4%]]
[Pirate [0.0%; -1.3%]]

[Glasgow First [0.0%; -0.5%]]
SNP HoldPercentage change since 2012

Anderston and City


Result of ward at last election (2012) : Emboldened denotes elected

Labour 1,1131,561 (50%)
SNP 516, 1,057 (30%)
Green 558 (10%)
Conservative 249 (5%)
Liberal Democrats 89 (2%)
Solidarity 89 (2%)
Pirate Party 46 (1%)
Glasgow First 20 (0%)
Brittanica 17 (0%)


August 5, 2015
Listed below is the first preference votes:
SNP 2,134 [49.9%; +18.8%]
Labour 932 [21.8%; -17.5%]
Green 579 [13.5%; +3.6%]
Conservative 379 [8.9%; +0.9%]
Liberal Democrat Will Millinship 125 [2.9%; -5.1%]
UKIP 65 [1.5%; +1.5%]
TUSC 62 [1.4%; +1.4%]
[Anti-Cuts [0.0%; -2.6%]]
[Glasgow First [1.1%; -1.1%]]
SNP gain from GreenLangside


Result of ward at last election (2012) : Emboldened denotes elected

SNP 652, 1,930 (38%)
Labour 2,441 (36%)
Green 618 (9%)
Conservatives 493 (7%)
Liberal Democrats 498 (7%)
Trade Unionist and Socialist 162 (2%)
Glasgow First 70 (1%)
Percentage change from 2012


August 5, 2015
Listed below is the first preference votes
SNP 2,674 [54.2%; +19.4%]

Labour 1,643 [33.3%; -8.9%]
Conservative 300 [6.1%; +0.7%]
Green 136 [2.8%; -0.4%]
UKIP 95 [1.9%; +0.3%]
Liberal Democrat Isabel Nelson 87 [1.8%; +0.4%]
[Solidarity [0.0%; -8.7%]]
[Glasgow First [0.0%; -2.7%]]
SNP Hold
Percentage change since 2012


Craigton

Result of ward at last election (2012) : Emboldened denotes elected
Labour 2,1022,279 (53%)
SNP 1,876 , 700 (31%)
Solidarity 472 (6%)
Conservatives 292 (4%)
Glasgow First 147 (2%)
Green 169 (2%)
Liberal Democrats 76 (1%)
United Kingdom Independence Party 86 (1%)

August 5, 2015
Listed below is the first preference votes:
SNP 1,507 [55.5%; +23.8%]
Labour 814 [30.0%; -10.7%]
Conservative 129 [4.7%; -0.7%]
UKIP 103 [3.8%; +3.8%]
Green 99 [3.6%; -2.5%]
Independent 47 [1.7%; +1.7%]
Liberal Democrat Chris Young 18 [0.7%; -1.3%]
[Glasgow First [0.0%; -6%]]
[Scottish Unionist [0.0%; -5%]]
[Previous Independents [0.0%; -3.2%]]

Turnout: 16%
SNP HoldPercentage change since 2012


Result of ward at last election (2012) : Emboldened denotes elected

Labour 1,595892 (55%)
SNP 672, 695 (30%)
Green 135 (3%)
Conservatives 120 (3%)
Glasgow First 131 (3%)
Scottish Unionists 109 (2%)
Independents 41 (1%)
Liberal Democrats 43 (1%)
Scottish Socialists 43 (1%)
Non Party Independent 71 (1%)
Brittanica 9 (0%)
August 5, 2015
Listed below are the first preference votes:
SNP 1,881 [48%; +17.3%]
Labour 1,396 [35.6%; -12.7%]
Conservative 349 [8.9%; -3.2%]
Green 127 [3.2%; +3.2%]
Christian Party 77 [2%; -2.9%]
UKIP 43 [1.1%; +1.1%]
Liberal Democrat Matthew Cockburn 32 [0.8%; +0.8%]
Pirate 13 [0.3%; +0.3%]
[Pensioners Party [0.0%; -4.9%]]
SNP Hold
Percentage change since 2012


Result of ward at last election (2012) : Emboldened denotes elected

Labour 800, 1,975 (51%)
SNP 1,255502 (33%)
Conservatives 496 (9%)
Pensioners 199 (4%)
Christian Party 165 (3%)


With two seats recently held in Aberdeen the decision of the Councillors for the SNP  who recently won Parliamentary seats has been vindicated. We can only speculate whether a change i the Labour Leadership at Westminster will make a difference a change in Labours Holyrood leader is also due but few see that as changing their fortunes for the better. 

1 comment:

  1. We have very little hope in the change of Leaders for Labour Scottish Branch making any change in their fortunes. We had one of their hopefuls making statements in the press that there should be no increase in powers for the Scottish Parliament. I think Wales needs to waken up to the fact that they have no labour party worth the name and I hold out very little hope of Jeremy Corbyn ever lifting his head out of England to solve the problems of the colonies.

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