Monday 19 October 2020

An independent Scotland (and Wales ) could be in the same position as NZ.

 Labour in bother Wales and Scotland former Scottish Leader  Kexia Douglas  have been Congratulating thier Sister Party Jacinda Ardern  on their result in last weeks landslide in that independent country's General Election



Kezia Dugdale
@kezdugdale
·
Super proud of my pal tonight
Winking face
Clapping hands sign







Rose
Congratulations and on a well-deserved victory!
Flag of Wales
Best wishes from the entire family.s




It seems to bypaass them that they are congratulating a small country (Too Small) on providing a leader and government , that is the envy of the world

Indeed it prompted me to ask Ms  Douglas 



If you hadn't chosen the path of a failed Union. Maybe you could have emulated her and led Labour to a landslide in an General Election in an independent Scotland next May.


The comparison with Scotland is stark even under the Union a strong able leader sems to be heading for a landslide at the next Scottish Elections almost mirroring the result in New Zealand


Here are the polling averages of the polls below together with the seat changes on uniform swings. Information on how the 2021 Scottish Parliament election polling average is calculated is available here.


Here are the polling averages of the polls below together with the seat changes on uniform swings. Information on how the 2021 Scottish Parliament election polling average is calculated is available here.

Summary
SeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowGainsLossesNet
SNP6371+11-3+8
Conservative3123+1-9-8
Labour24190-5-5
Green610+40+4
Liberal Democrat56+2-1+1
Constituency
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
SNP46.50%54.00%+7.50%5969+100+10
Conservative22.02%20.50%-1.52%710-6-6
Labour22.56%15.50%-7.06%300-3-3
Liberal Democrat7.82%7.00%-0.82%430-1-1
Green0.58%1.00%+0.42%00000
Region
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
SNP41.72%44.50%+2.78%42+1-3-2
Conservative22.93%19.50%-3.43%2422+1-3-2
Labour19.07%16.00%-3.07%21190-2-2
Green6.58%10.00%+3.42%610+40+4
Liberal Democrat5.22%7.50%+2.28%13+20+2
UKIP2.03%2.03%0.00%00000
Brexit Party0.00%0.00%0.00%00000




Compare this prediction with the result in New Zealand
e • d Summary of the 17 October 2020 election for the House of Representatives[201][202]
Preliminary results with 100.0% of ordinary and advanced votes counted, not including special votes
PartyVotesPercentChange
(pp)
Seats
ElectorateListTotalChange
Labour1,171,54449.15+12.26432164+18
National638,60626.79−17.6626935−21
ACT190,1397.98+7.481910+9
Green180,3477.57+1.301910+2
NZ First63,5342.67−4.53000−9
New Conservative35,9711.51+1.270000
Opportunities33,7271.41−1.030000
Māori23,9321.00−0.18101+1
Advance NZ20,8780.88+0.880000
Legalise Cannabis7,5900.32+0.010000
ONE6,4740.27+0.270000
Vision NZ2,7800.12+0.120000
Outdoors2,5960.11+0.050000
TEA1,8710.08+0.080000
Sustainable NZ1,4690.06+0.060000
Social Credit1,3510.06+0.030000
Heartland9870.04+0.040000
Total2,383,796100.007248120

If Scotland had voted YEsS in 2014 it could have been a Labour Leader  who led Scotland through the Covid Pandemic who was approaching a lamdslide.
Of course next May's election is going to be about Independence , but Nicola Sturgeons steerage through the pandemic has clearly influenced many that  this route is the future for Scotland.
Some will  claim that New Zealand's success is partly  due to it being an Island.
But Scotland in an Island and  has only one land boarder and an Independent Scotland would have much more control over how they applied restrictions.
For New Zealand and Scotland read Wales  , we to should look at the result in the Southern Hemisphere  as an example what we with the right leadership and powers can achieve.Instead we send letters  to the incompetent and increasingly corrupt and totalitarian Westminster Government asking them to discourage other UK residents from blackspots from visiting Wales , during what is obviously  a Second Wave.
I have no doubt before this decade is out Scotland will join New Zealand  asan independent Nation , whether another nation called Cymru joins them is up to us.






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