Thursday, 24 January 2019

Corbyn's Lexit response seems to be to assume the Crash Position.

Plaid Cymru Adam Price has written a column  on Wales Online that should be read by not only in Wales but beyond.

Adam writes

Last week, the Welsh Government and our national parliament supported Plaid Cymru’s motion rejecting, in any circumstances, an exit from the European Union with no deal.
The best way to stop a no deal is to move on to the real solutions, to extend Article 50, and put the question of our European future to the people. By refusing to back a People’s Vote, however, the Labour Party is as guilty as the Tories in precipitating a no deal exit from the EU.
You could argue that Adam should be concentrating on the Tories , but the reality is that even though they are divided over Europe  Mrs May's part have no intention on carrying on with the Brexit deadline no matter what .

They resemble a coach driver heading for the cliff's edge but although they have breaks will not apply them, either believing the cliff is not that big or somehow they will survive the crash and build a luxury coach from the wreckage.

Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn resembles the passenger who realises this but will not dash forward and force the driver to break.

Adam continues...

It is worth reiterating how disastrous a no deal is.

A no deal scenario would cost the Welsh economy billions, endangering jobs and communities across Wales.
It threatens a financial crisis, the aftershocks of which will be felt for a generation or more.
Such is expected depth of impact in certain sectors – the car industry, pharmaceuticals, aerospace, farming – that it will leave an immovable shadow of economic decline. And because Wales has a higher concentration in most of these sectors we would likely suffer disproportionately.

On March 30, in a crash out scenario we can expect a rapid and radical worsening of these already existing trends. The pound would tumble – probably at least a further 20% to parity with the dollar.
There would be widespread concern about the UK’s financial stability, accompanied by a frantic flow of capital out of the country; and a whole range of financial institutions would be likely severely tested. This is likely to echo 2008, but with the added dimension that both the UK and global economies are in a more fragile state than then and have far less capacity to respond.
Last October Theresa May  made a bold pledge to bring a decade of austerity to a close, as she appealed to the public over the heads of her squabbling party to back her to deliver a Brexit deal. Speaking in Birmingham on at the end of the Conservatives’ annual conference, which was marred by repeated clashes over Europe, May cast aside the chancellor’s concerns about the health of the country’s finances and signalled Brexit would mark an end to public spending cuts.

But even if she was right it cannot be denied that we will be immediately plunged into more austerity as Adam writes,. The only real question id for how long.

I suspect that some Tories want to see it so they can finally end the welfare state which they have always hated .

Why is Corvyn not realising this I know he believes that Brexit means leaving a Capitalist  and he can build s Shining Socialist Utopia from the ashes. But he and I both will be dead long before that  even if it happens.

Adam continues..

The impact on the tradeable goods sector is likely to be sudden and explosive; every cross-border transaction will be affected, indeed whole new borders will be created where they currently do not exist. Red tape, delays, chaos and confusion will fatally undermine and threaten the very basis of much UK just-in-time manufacturing industry. One can envisage company shut downs and cash flow problems kicking in very quickly given the scale of change and uncertainty.
This is without even mentioning the chaos it would cause for necessities which we import including food and medicine.
In particular, there are a subset of medicines and equipment – medical isotopes – that are governed by the Euratom agreement.
As a member of Euratom, the UK currently has access to a secure and consistent supply of radioisotopes which are vital in medicine for diagnosis, clinical pathology and treatment.
More than 10,000 patients across the UK receive cancer treatments using these materials. As isotopes have a short half-life and cannot be stock piled in the event of a ‘no deal’, continuous and timely access is vital for patient safety.

Parliament cannot come to an agreement on the way forward, so now is the time for the people to decide on our European future and avoid a catastrophic no-deal.
Allowing the people to endorse or reject the Prime Minister deal and opting to Remain in the EU via a People’s Vote, alongside setting a decisive timetable for its implementation, would provide certainty at a time when the devastating effects of parliamentary paralysis are not only being felt in the political sphere but in the economy too.
Plaid Cymru’s version of the People’s Vote would not be a re-run of the 2016 referendum. Instead, it would involve a compact of civility on its conduct. Far from being divisive, it could be a way of healing the deep rifts in society.
We firmly believe that a People’s Vote is a solution for everyone however the Labour Party continues to stand in the way.
I am not sire if Adam is right  that a Peoples vote will  "way of healing the deep rifts in society" , a simple look at the media's response to any attempt to even slow down Mrs May's Brexit plans.

However Brexit has already let the racist genie out of the bottle and a People's Vote or not they feel empowered, how we deal with it is a really difficult question .

What we must do is ever give in to them and no surrender a single inch , including as  both Labour and Tories have pandering to such sentiments by pandering to them.

But as Adam concludes if we leave the EU with a No Deal then Labour will have a lot to answer for. 
Labour has, by now, satisfied one element of their conference policy by calling a motion of no confidence – albeit an unsuccessful one. The time has come for Labour to listen to its own party members and move towards a People’s Vote now that a General Election is off the cards.
Labour cannot continue to waste time through meaningless and doomed-to-fail motions of no confidence. The Brexit deadlock is the single biggest issue that Parliament has faced for decades. Created by a Tory Government more intent on chasing unicorns than finding solutions, it is being helped along by a stubborn Labour Party leadership more concerned with short term party advantage than the public’s long term interest.
Their irresponsibility is on show for all to see and it is our country and communities who will pay the price
Plaid Cymru believes that a final say referendum is the only remaining solution to the political stalemate and the only possible way to avoid a catastrophic no deal scenario.
It’s about time Labour realised this.
As Labour shirks its leadership responsibility then the case for another, different people’s vote – for Welsh independence within the European Union grows stronger than ever especially among young people. Labour can protect their future now by backing a People’s Vote. If they fail to do so, the young people of Wales will never forgive them.

The  Brexit Bus is heading for the Cliff and we have a  leader of the opposition who seems to have put himself, and his party into a crash position.

What he needs to do is stop it Plaid ,SNP ,Grens and LibDems  want to help him to try and prevent a disaster, we can only hope that he will accept it.

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