A Brecon and Radnorshire byelection may be on the cards.

The news that a Welsh MP has been interviewed by police over allegations of a fraudulent expenses claim raises the  real possibility of a byelection,

Chris Davies, Conservative MP for Brecon and Radnorshire, was referred to police by the Independent Parliamentary Standards Authority (IPSA).
It is alleged he made a false expense claim for pictures used in his constituency office in 2016.
He has previously said he made an "honest mistake" and voluntarily spoke to the Metropolitan Police.
A Scotland Yard spokesman said inquiries were continuing.
"A 50-year-old man was voluntarily interviewed under caution on Tuesday, 17 July 2018," he added.
It is understood Mr Davies is accused of manually creating two invoices for £450 and £250 rather than submitting the full £700 claim for the pictures by computer.
He has previously said that he repaid the £450 sum, which was charged to a start-up fund for new MPs to set up offices.
Mr Davies was referred to IPSA in April 2018 and compliance officer Andy McDonald passed on the claim to the Metropolitan Police. 

 So if if he was to resign then it could lead to a very interesting by-election


Powys County which Brecon and Radnorshire, voted Leave 53.3%  Remain 46.7%  in the Euro elections  and it would be interesting to see  a contest in which the Liberal Democrats would be the main challengers.

At the last election Chris Davis took nearly all the  previous Ukip votes to increase his majority

Elections in the 2010s

General Election 2017: Brecon and Radnorshire^[8]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Conservative	Christopher Davies	20,081	48.6	+7.5
	Liberal Democrat	James Gibson-Watt	12,043	29.1	+0.8
	Labour	Dan Lodge	7,335	17.7	+3.0
	Plaid Cymru	Kate Heneghan	1,299	3.1	-1.3
	UKIP	Peter Gilbert	576	1.4	-6.9
Majority			8,038	19.5	+6.7
Turnout			41,334	76.9	+3.1
Registered electors			56,010
	Conservative hold		Swing	+3.4

General Election 2015: Brecon and Radnorshire^[9][10]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Conservative	Christopher Davies	16,453	41.1	+4.5
	Liberal Democrat	Roger Williams	11,351	28.3	−17.8
	Labour	Matthew Dorrance	5,904	14.7	+4.2
	UKIP	Darran Thomas [11]	3,338	8.3	+6.1
	Plaid Cymru	Freddy Greaves	1,767	4.4	+1.9
	Green	Chris Carmichael	1,261	3.1	+2.3
Majority			5,102	12.7	N/A
Turnout			40,074	73.8	+1.3
Registered electors			54,441
	Conservative gain from Liberal Democrat		Swing	+11.1

 The real interest is whether the LIb Dems would risk playing their only queen 

Kirsty Williams the current  AM  the only Liberal Democrat in Cardiff Bay is currently in charge of Education  in  the (not a coalition) Labour government.

At the last Assembly elections she increased her majority against the trend.

Welsh Assembly Election 2016: Brecon and Radnorshire^[1]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Liberal Democrats	Kirsty Williams	15,898	52.4	+9.3
	Conservative	Gary Price	7,728	25.4	−7.9
	Labour	Alex Thomas	2,703	8.9	−8.0
	UKIP	Thomas Turton	2,161	7.1	+7.1
	Plaid Cymru	Freddy Greaves	1,180	3.9	−2.8
	Green	Grenville Ham	697	2.3	+2.3
Majority			8,170	27	+17.3
Turnout			30,367	56.5	+3.6
	Liberal Democrats hold		Swing

But she has shown interest in fighting the Parliamentary seat .

If she stood  she would be favourite to win .

Would the Lib Dems however risk fighting their only Assembly seat on the same day.

If they were to lose both then it could be the end of the Liberal Democrats in Wales, with no Parliamentary or Assembly seats,

But if they won both then they could claim their long awaited revival may well be on the cards. But as I said only if they play their Queen,