|By-Election 2014: Newark|
|Liberal Democrat||David Watts||1,004||2.6||-17.4|
|Monster Raving Loony||Nick The Flying Brick||168||0.4||N/A|
|Bus-Pass Elvis Party||David Bishop||87||0.2||N/A|
|Common Good||Dick Rodgers||64||0.2||N/A|
|Patriotic Socialist Party||Lee Woods||18||0.0||N/A|
|General Election 2010: Newark|
|Liberal Democrat||Pauline Jenkins||10,246||20.0||+1.6|
|UKIP||Rev Major Tom Irvine||1,954||3.8||+1.0|
At first glance this l would look like an impressive swing to Ukip but they failed in a seat that saw rge previous Tory MPercer resigning after an investigation by the BBC's Panorama programme regarding allegations of paid lobbying without registering the interest.
Itis is allso a huge disapointment for Labour who gained the seat in the Bair landslid Fiona Jones of 1997
|General Election 1997: Newark|
|Liberal Democrat||Peter Harris||5,960||11.5|
|Referendum Party||Graham Creedy||2,035||3.9||N/A|
|Labour gain from Conservative||Swing|
Jones was accused of fraudulently failing to declare the full amount of her election costs, and convicted of election fraud in March 1999 and had the Labour whip withdrawn. She was the first MP to be disqualified from membership of theHouse of Commons for that offence since it was introduced by the Corrupt and Illegal Practices Prevention Act 1883. However, the Court of Appeal overturned her conviction within weeks: the disqualification was revoked, and she resumed her place in the House of Commons. However, she lost her seat in the 2001 general election. She later lost a civil case brought against the police for malicious prosecution, and ultimately succumbed to alcoholism.
She contested her seat in the 2001 general election, but lost to the Conservative candidate Patrick Mercer. So it possible Labour would have held the seat up to 2010
So Labour may have held the seat up to 2010]
For the Liberal Democrats it;s another disaster.as they finish sixth.They wee once the Byelection masters particularly in the period of the Major government but now are beginning to look like a fringe party.
But what we really need to know where are the Ukip votes coming from?
Maybe i time to look at the numbers rather than the percentages.
The Tories ost 10159
Labour Lost 4594
Liberal Democrats Lost 9242
Ukip Gained 15477
12521 fewer People voted
So for example did Liberal Democrats vote go to Ukip or did it go to the Tories to stop Ukip or stay at home?
Maybe its time we had a decent poll of switches only then can we even hope to gather a true picture.