Saturday, 12 September 2020

independentistas sett to get majority mandate for IndyREF2.

 Another opinion poll has found majority support for Scottish independence ahead of the next Holyrood election.

The snapshot, by Survation, found 53% of respondents saying they would vote yes in a referendum, compared to 47% saying no.

Over 50% of people said they would vote SNP on first-past-the-post at next year’s Scottish Parliament poll, an outcome that would deliver another victory for the independentistas

Latest Scottish Parliament Constituency vote poll, Survation 2-7 Sept (changes vs 20-22 Jan); SNP - 53% (+2) Con - 20% (-3) Lab - 18% (+1) LD - 7% (nc)

New Scottish Parliament List vote poll, Survation 2-7 Sept (changes vs 20-22 Jan);


SNP - 42% (+4)

Con - 18% (-3)

Lab - 18% (-1)

Grn - 10% (+1)

LD - 8% (-1)

Brex - 2% (nc)

UKIP - 2% (+1)



Seat projection, Survation 2-7 Sept (changes vs 20-22 Jan / 2016 election);


SNP - 70 (+6 / +7)

Labour - 21 (-3 / -3)

Conservative - 20 (-4 / -11)

Green - 10 (+1 / +4)

This would ensure that the SNP would have an mandate in their own right , but would be further legitimised with the Green members , who may not all support Independence  would still back a referendum.

Incidentally the Greens may increase thier vote as some SNP voters figuring that a Landslide in the SNP  constituency vote , give thier list vote to the Greens.

Even the Scottish Westminster poll, Survation 2-7 Sept (changes vs GE2019) puts the SNP on a landslide , even though they Scotland may have voted for Independence by then.


SNP - 51% (+6)

Lab - 21% (+2)

Con - 20% (-5)

LD - 6% (-4)

·

What of the the main call Independence?

New Independence Poll, Survation 2-7 Sept (changes vs 20-22 Jan);


Yes - 46% (+1)

No - 40% (-5)

Don't Know - 13% (+3)


Excluding Don't Knows;

Yes - 53% (+3)

No - 47% (-3)

This would give a clear majority though and if the last Independence campaign is any guide it will increase  in the months leading up to the referendum.


You can expect the Unionist Media to follow the Unionists Parties at throwing so much mud at the SNP , the latter could build a rival to the The Great Mosque of Djenné considered to be the largest mud Brick , building in the world

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