Friday, 18 December 2015

Byelection Gogarth Division on Conwy County Council

There was a byelection fir the Gogarth Division on Conwy County Council

2012 result
Gogarth - results
Election Candidate Party Votes %
Margaret Lyon Independent/ Annibynnol 368 19% Elected
Janet Elizabeth Haworth Welsh Conservative Party Candidate/Ymgeisydd Plaid Geidwadol Cymru 317 17% Elected
Mike Pritchard Welsh Labour/ Llafur Cymru 279 15% Not elected
Terry Dewar Welsh Labour/ Llafur Cymru 259 14% Not elected
Michael Williams Welsh Conservative Party Candidate/Ymgeisydd Plaid Geidwadol Cymru 248 13% Not elected
Greg Robbins Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales 220 12% Not elected
John Ridler Independent/ Annibynnol 212 11% Not elected

2015 Byelction Result (Conservative Defense)

Hugh Thomas Montagu Saville   Conservative 318 [42.5%; +15.7%]
Deborah Louise Good                 Labour 187 [25%; +1.4%]
Greg Robbins                            Plaid Cymru 167 [22.3%; +3.7%]
Roger Hewitt Boon                    LD  49 [6.5%; +6.5%]
Mark Pavey                              Independent 28 [3.7%; +3.7%]
[Previous Independents [0.0%; -31.1%]]
Conservative Hold
Percentage change since 2012

So a Tory Hold  it is difficult to read any major political shift from this result clearly the presence of an obviously popular Independent who was previously a Conservative Councilor  in a ward that sems to be otherwise Nominally Conservative clouds any swing .or sign of diffraction with the Party . Though it looks like the Majority of Margret Lyo'sn vote went to the Tories.
If you are interested  there a list of this Ward results back to 2004 here



  1. Margaret Lyon remains an Independent County Councillor for this two-seat ward. This was the seat vacated after six months of absence by the Conservative and former LibDem Janet Haworth, now a member of the Welsh Assembly. What strikes me is the absence of a UKIP candidate. If UKIP really expects to do well next May, it needs to have candidates in by-elections such as this and have activists knocking on doors to talk to the voters.

    The victorious Conservative candidate is a young man who attended a private school and now works for Guto Bebb MP.

  2. Lack of a UKIP candidate may show how poorly organised they are at a ward level. They probably find it hard to get the numbers to sign nomination papers and their lack of infrastructure and local knowledge may have resulted in them not even knowing an election was due. At an Assembly level they will find it far easier to stand candidates and if the polls are right they will have AMs.