After due consideration (as they say) I will not be spoiling my ballot in tomorrows poll for Police and Crime Commissioner by shall be writing in the name of James Gordon from the Batman TV series but following the advice of Welsh not British and writing Devolve policing on my ballot paper.
It will make a much more positive statement.
As far as the elections go it will probably be a clean sweep for Labour in Wales though Independents Mike Baker in the South Wales area and Winston Roddick in North Wales may just pull of a surprise.
In the Other Elections Cardiff South and Penarth should be safe for Labour and my prediction is
Labour – 51%
Conservative – 22%
Plaid – 13%
Lib Dem – 6%
UKIP – 6%
In the Two By-elections the prediction (or guess) is a bit harder.
Deganwy division after the resignation of a Independent councillor Jason Weyman. should be a Conservative gain since they already have the other two seats but with 7 candidates the winner may have under 30% of the vote.
On Merthyr Council:
In Cyfarthfa after the resignation of Merthyr Independents councillor Les Elliott.Where Labour hold one seat, Independents one and there's one vacant it will probably be between
Margaret Davies Lab and Malcolm Jenkins Ind who were close just lost out last time should be the main contenders.
But in all cases local conditions will apply so we may see some shocks.
But quite frankly it shows the nature of the Police and Crime Commissioner elections that here in from Beddau the result in Deganwy and Cyfarfthfa is of more interest.