Plaid's Flur Elin may be worth a punt on Pontypridd on DEC 12th.

When the Liberal Democrats agreed on a pact in some seats  with Plaid Cymru that included Pontypridd , I was somewhat surprised b but it is possible due to my own turf appearing to have voted Remain, despite ot being counted in the Leave Rhondda Cynon Taf area.

According to Wales online Pontypridd actually voted Remain after all

Pontypridd: Remain5e

46.5

Leave

46.5

Leave

53.5

Remain

Brexit is the big topic in the upcoming General Election.
When the EU referendum happened in 2016, the votes were counted in what's called "counting areas" - which in most cases were council areas.

However, the General Election is counted in consitutencies.
You can see guides to every constituency in Wales, and check your constituency.Since the referendum, there have been different attempts to work out how constituencies voted in 2016.
The House of Commons Library, an independent research unit, has looked at estimates produced by Dr Chris Hanretty of the University of East Anglia, some collected by the BBC and and other known results for Parliamentary constituencies.
You can read the whole methodology as to how the figures were reached.
These figures may be different to the figures you saw at the time of the EU referendum.

At the last election Owen Smith increased his majority

General election 2017: Pontypridd^[9]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Labour	Owen Smith	22,103	55.4	+14.3
	Conservative	Juliette Ash	10,655	26.7	+9.4
	Plaid Cymru	Fflur Elin	4,102	10.3	-1.2
	Liberal Democrats	Mike Powell	1,963	4.9	-8.0
	UKIP	Robin Hunter-Clarke	1,071	2.7	-10.7
Majority			11,448	28.7	+5.0
Turnout			39,894	65.9	+1.6
Registered electors			60,564
	Labour hold		Swing	+2.5

A far different story  from when he first stood

General election 2010: Pontypridd^[11][12]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Labour	Owen Smith	14,220	38.8	−15.4
	Liberal Democrats	Mike Powell	11,435	31.2	+11.2
	Conservative	Lee Gonzalez	5,932	16.2	+4.6
	Plaid Cymru	Ioan Bellin	2,673	7.3	−3.7
	UKIP	David Bevan	1,229	3.4	+0.8
	Socialist Labour	Simon Parsons	456	1.2	N/A
	Christian	Donald Watson	365	1.0	N/A
	Green	John Matthews	361	1.0	N/A
Majority			2,785	7.6	−25.7
Turnout			36,671	63.0	−0.2
Registered electors			58,205
	Labour hold		Swing	−13.3

Elections in the 2000s

There are how two difrences  Own Smith is not standing and Labour have selected  Alex Davies-Jones a Tonyrefail County Councilor . Mike Powell the former Liberal Democrat despite losing his deposit has objected to being left out of the Lib-Dem Plaid Remain Pact  an will stand as an Independent.

But it is Plaid Fflur Elin who is sen as a rising star in the party who will also be standing under the  Unite to Remain banner .

It all makes what should be a foregone conclusion (Labour Hold) a bit more intresting.


How much will Remain voters warm to a candidate fighting on this issue ?

How much difference will Mike Powell a R.C.T councillor who is a populist and already seemingly fighting om "Local Issues" ie  attacking the Labour  run Council rather than Westminster make .

The Tory has only to turn up to the count , but he is a local Community Councilor  in my ward of Beddau and like Powell is a populist  who highlights local issues and claims credit for any changes.

Pontypridd have been Labour a 1922 By-Election  and will probably stay so , but there has always been a strong "Anti-Labour" , which is not necessarily  all on the right.

If I was to put a bet on this you may get good odds on Plaid and Fflur may be worth a few quid