So Independent AM and former Plaid Cymru leader Dafydd Elis-Thomas is to join the Welsh Government as a minister.
Labour First Minister Carwyn Jones has announced a wide-ranging cabinet reshuffle - promoting five AMs."Lord" Elis-Thomas will be minister for culture, tourism and sport - a deputy to economy secretary Ken Skates.
So what is in it for DET apart from a junior Cabinet position under the man responsible for the Iron Ring debacle?
Could he have come to some agreement with Labour if he intends to stand again in Dwyfor Merionith?
He currently has a healthy majority in the last Assembly Elections
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ± | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Plaid Cymru | Dafydd Elis-Thomas | 9,566 | 47.3 | +0.7 | |
Conservative | Neil Fairlamb | 3,160 | 15.6 | −4.8 | |
Labour | Ian MacIntyre | 2,443 | 12.1 | −0.6 | |
UKIP | Frank Wykes | 2,149 | 10.6 | +10.6 | |
Independent | Louise Hughes | 1,259 | 6.2 | +6.2 | |
Liberal Democrats | Stephen Churchman | 916 | 4.5 | −0.3 | |
Green | Alice Hooker-Stroud | 743 | 3.7 | +3.7 | |
Majority | 6,406 | ||||
Turnout | 46.7 | ||||
Plaid Cymru hold | Swing | +0.4 |
The assumption is that if he stood as an Independent he would win though he could possibly split the ( I was going to say Nationlist vote) Plaid vote and gift the seat to the Tories who also came second in the UK General Election.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ± | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Plaid Cymru | Liz Saville Roberts | 13,687 | 45.1 | +4.2 | |
Conservative | Neil Fairlamb | 8,837 | 29.1 | +6.4 | |
Labour | Mathew Norman | 6,273 | 20.7 | +7.2 | |
Liberal Democrat | Stephen Churchman | 937 | 3.1 | -0.9 | |
UKIP | Frank Wykes | 614 | 2.0 | -8.8 | |
Majority | 4,850 | 16.0 | -2.2 | ||
Turnout | 30,312 | 68.0 | +2.9 | ||
Plaid Cymru hold | Swing | -1.1 |
But Labour must also fancy their chances would really stand aside for what after all is a political Maverick?
There may be an opportunity for Jac O' the North New Nationalist Party to enter the mix.
Could DET have promised to endorse a Labour Candidate if he chooses not to stand though this has been something of a curse in the past such when surged Plaid, Conservative and Liberal Democrat supporters to give their first or second preference votes to David Taylor Police and Crime Commissioner for North Wales, saying he wants to “stop Ukip in their tracks”.
It was won by Plaid's Arfon Jones (possibly the PCC in the UK)
DET is 71 not particularly old and may not be thinking of entering retirement just yet.
After all ending his political career as Junior Minister in "Not a Coalition" where like the former Liberal Democrat leader Kirsty Williams he will find he has no Independence and will be a Labour Puppet.
The former La Pasionaria was possibly the most effect speaker on the Opposition benches and the Assembly is worse off as she is silenced by joining Carwyn's government.
But he still will have his Peerage and could possibly count of that to ensure he does not enter obscurity and will still be able to take the occasional dig at his former party.
Which may be his only goal in life these days.
2 comments:
Been a long wait to get a job with real power. A deputy minister in a department that is facing big cuts. No chance of any legacy there!
His party has a healthy majority. Not too sure how much of a personal vote he has. Liz Saville Roberts was elected to parliament as a new Plaid candidate and gained a similar percentage vote. Suggests people look at the party label more than the person when voting at this level.
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