Corbyn becoming PM may depend on Tories not voting.

Despite its problems  the latest UK opinion polls  do not yet convince that the Tories would lose a General Election  if on was called now

YouGov/Times carried out Tues/Wed

CON 40%=
LAB 43%+1
LD 6%-2

YouGov Times poll “best PM” ratings
TMay 34%+1
Corbyn 31%-2
DK 35%

YouGov Times poll – should TMay stand down?
Should 32% -6
Should not 42%+3
Changes on month ago

44% tell YouGov Times poll that TMay should sack Boris against 26% saying she should keep him. Rest of sample don’t know.

As Mike Smithson over at Political Betting points out 

With Mrs. May having to say goodbye to two of her 22 cabinet ministers in less than a week you’d have thought that Labour and Corbyn would have seen an increase in their position in the polls.
Well this morning sees the first published poll of the month with fieldwork carried out on Tuesday and Wednesday and the numbers are nothing like as bad as the Tories must have feared and nothing like as good as LAB must have hoped.
Sure on voting intention LAB sees a minuscule within margin of error one point uplift but on “best PM” TMay extends her lead.
Labour’s failure to capitalise on the Tory turmoil should be a cause for concern and certainly raises question about the red team’s leadership.

 The 1997 General Election which was fought under similar conditions of sleaze accusation did  see a Labour Landslide

 

Candidates Votes Party Leader Standing Elected Gained Unseated Net  % of total  % No. Net % Labour Tony Blair 639 418 145 0 +145 63.4 43.2 13,518,167 +8.8 Conservative John Major 648 165 0 178 –178 25.0 30.7 9,600,943 –11.2 Liberal Democrat Paddy Ashdown 639 46 30 2 +28 7.0 16.8 5,242,947 –1.0 Referendum James Goldsmith 547 0 0 0 0 2.6 811,849 N/A
But there is some indication even with coming of Blairism which did see a rise in Labour voters it does appear some Tory voters rather than vote for Blair or the Liberal Democrats chose not to vote.
UK General Election 1992 Party Seats Gains Losses Net gain/loss Seats % Votes % Votes +/−   Labour 273 17 15 +2 41.6 34.4 11,560,484   Conservative 343 28 21 +7 52.1 41.9 14,093,007   Liberal Democrat 18 0 2 −2 2.7 17.8 5,999,384   Others 25 1 0 +1 3.6 5.9		.

Turnout in 1992 was 33,614,074  77. 7%  as opposed to 1997 in a Labour Landslide  which was 31,286,284 71.3% . Clearly not  all Non-Voters were Tories , But how many  Tories couldn't even back Blair's New Labour Red-Toryism let alone the Liberal Democrats?   With the Liberal Democrats still languishing  in the polls and not expected to make the same impact as in 1997 where they made 28 gains  prospect of Jeremy Corbyn or any other Labour Leader  may well depend on Tory voters switching allegiance to either Labour the Lib Dems  or any other party but on the Tories staying at home.