Saturday, 26 November 2016

Remember Tryweryn and stand by Standing Rock.

Wales may have more reason than many to stand with the Tribal members of Standing Rock and recognise  both the pain and the inspiration those Defending their land are experiencing.

Back in April, a few Standing Rock tribal members set up camp in a small valley where the Cannonball River flows into Lake Oahe. They were protesting a pipeline designed to carry oil 1,200 miles from the Bakken oil fields to a distribution center in Illinois.

Fueled by social media, the protest caught fire, and the camp is now larger than most small towns in North Dakota.

Standing Rock Tribal Chair Dave Archambault said he's been overwhelmed by the response to a carefully considered decision to fight the Dakota Access pipeline.
"This started with prayer, this started with ceremony," he said. "I think there's a spirit rising in all of us across this nation, across this world, saying, 'Enough is enough.' I'm not the one that's doing all of this. It's beyond people. It's the creator is taking over.""It's earth-shaking, something like this, where three departments come together and start to recognize and expand the jurisdiction for indigenous people and to look at what the wrongs are,"

"It feels powerful," said Galeson EagleStar, of Pine Ridge, S.D., as he stood overlooking a second encampment that became necessary when arriving sympathizers outgrew the first. It sits on land owned by the Army Corps of Engineers.

Hundreds of colorful tents dot the landscape among motor homes, campers, cars and trucks. About three dozen traditional teepees are scattered across the campsite. There are rows of portable toilets, a camp kitchen, a tent school for children, dozens of horses and mountains of donated supplies.
And dozens of tribal nation flags flap in the breeze.
"I gathered information that there was over 100 different indigenous North American native tribes here camped out," EagleStar said. He's nearly 70, but he still proudly wears a T-shirt bearing the logo of the American Indian Movement, a protest group he joined in the 1970s.
EagleStar pointed to a large tent in the center of the camp. It houses the seven warrior societies of the Lakota, Dakota and Nakota nations.

It is reminiscent of the Tryweryn

In 1956, a private bill sponsored by Liverpool City Council was brought before Parliament to develop a water reservoir from the Tryweryn Valley. The development would include the flooding of Capel Celyn an almost overwhelmingly Welsh speaking community . By obtaining authority via an Act of Parliament, Liverpool City Council would not require planning consent from the relevant Welsh local authorities. This, together with the fact that the village was one of the last Welsh-only speaking communities, ensured that the proposals became deeply controversial. Thirty-five out of thirty-six Welsh Members of Parliament (MPs) opposed the bill (the other did not vote), but in 1957 it was passed. The members of the community waged an eight-year effort, ultimately unsuccessful, to prevent the destruction of their homes.

When the valley was flooded in 1965, the village and its buildings, including the post office, the school, and a chapel with cemetery, were all lost. Twelve houses and farms were submerged, and 48 people of the 67 who lived in the valley lost their homes. In all some 800 acres (3.2 km²; 320 ha) of land were submerged. A new reservoir, Llyn Celyn, was formed. Many of the stones from the original chapel were re-used in the construction of the new Memorial Chapel.


The building of the reservoir was instrumental in an increase in support for the Welsh nationalist party, Plaid Cymru, during the late 1950s. Almost unanimous Welsh political opposition had failed to stop approval of the scheme, a fact that seemed to underline Plaid Cymru's argument that the Welsh national community was powerless.] At the subsequent General Election the party's support increased from 3.1% to 5.2%.



In October 1965 the Llyn Celyn reservoir opened to a sizeable Plaid Cymru organised demonstration. A year later, Gwynfor Evans won Plaid Cymru's first Parliamentary seat in Carmarthen. According to some commentators though, Capel Celyn did not play a major part in Gwynfor Evans's victory, since apart from Carmarthen's distance from Tryweryn, they claim that Plaid Cymru's victory owed as much to an anti-Labour backlash in the constituency's mining communities as it did to Plaid's successful depiction of Labour's policies as being a threat to the viability of small Welsh communities.

But like Standing Rock , Tryweryn was a symbol of the rights of an Indigenous people being overruled from outside.

There should be a Message of support sent to Standing Rock from the Welsh Assembly giving support from Wales in the name of Tryweryn and Capel Celyn.

Friday, 25 November 2016

SLOW OFF THE PRESS.

It was a bad day yesterday for Welsh News coverage

Firstly came the result pf analysis by Cardiff University for the BBC Trust found the BBC had generally increased its coverage of the nations but Welsh stories lagged behind.


The BBC said editors from the nations regularly discussed stories together.

Elan Closs Stephens said the report was generally encouraging.

I'm not sure in what way she found it encouraging 
But she added: 
"There has been improvement but I'm not fully satisfied. It's a long journey and we're going in the right direction."
Cardiff University monitored output by the BBC over a four-week period in October and November 2015 and followed it up with a snapshot review over two weeks in early 2016.
The 2015 research found that coverage of Welsh stories on the BBC's UK-wide programmes had fallen compared to a similar study completed in 2009.
Only 1.4% of stories on network TV news bulletins were specifically about Wales, compared to 3.8% in 2009.
By contrast, Scotland accounted for 10.2% of stories in 2015 compared to 6.7% in 2009 while Northern Ireland stories were 5% of the TV output, compared to 3.7% in 2009.
Of course the "Independence" question is still a talking point in Scotland  but that does not explain the low figures 
For some reason  a two week 2016 snapshot found 3.6% of TV news stories were about Wales, while 5.9% were about Scotland. Northern Ireland stories were 0.7% of the network TV news was included.
Any story which a BBC Editor found interesting would clearly make an impact on a Two Week snapshot and we can learn nothing from this. 
When comparing all of the BBC's TV and radio output, as well as some commercial TV news, Cardiff University found that stories with specific relevance to Wales accounted for 1.9% of those covered.
The BBC said it had improved its labelling of stories that only applied to specific parts of the UK and pointed to improvements it had made to increase coverage of the devolved governments, including the introduction of a "nations news belt" on its TV news.
I suspect the only coverage of devolved government  will be when then a major controversy and the  Assembly  government looking ridiculous (mind you some think this happens more often than not.
The other bad news  is that  the newspaper group Trinity Mirror is consulting with staff over closing its printing site in Cardiff.
The group prints most of south Wales' newspapers, including the Western Mail, South Wales Echo, South Wales Evening Post and the Llanelli Star.
A spokesman blamed declining print volumes and the relocation of a number of titles within its network.
It said it had entered into consultation with the 33 staff affected.
Alistair Milburn was editor of the South Wales Echo when the printing press facility was launched 13 years ago by Prince Charles.
He told BBC Radio Wales' Good Evening Wales programme.
"You'll come to a day sooner rather than later where the likes of the Western Mail won't exist as a print product,"
"The nationals will get slightly slower, the weeklies are still quite strong and you've got these regional papers that are really caught between the two, so it won't exist before long.
"I think it's a sign of the times. It's a sign of very low print runs. The Western Mail can be printed in less than an hour these days.
"Things have changed now, the news is more instant and it's going online
I suspect that this will start with the closure of the South Wales Echo which editions are publishes two editions : News Extra for morning sales and City Final for evening sales. There is also a Weekend edition published every Saturday
Clearly these will mot be appearing in South Wales as quickly off the presses  as  we are used to.
I suspect that Trinity Mirror will try and close the Echo in the hope that readers will switch to the Wasting Mule.
With hardly any indigenous Welsh Media it is hardly surprising that people who get their information from the main UK News outlets , are unaware of what is happening in Wales .

Small number the Welsh Electorate are confused about were powers lie and who represents them.
It is Ironic that the 2016 Welsh Election Study (WES) about voter recognition of their elected representatives. managed to hit the UK Media with the news that hardly anyone recognised their MEP

Name Recognition for Individual MEPs/False Names

Name % Selected
Derek Vaughan  Labour   9%
Nathan Gill Ukip 16%
Kay Swinburne Conservative  6%
Jill Evans Plaid Cymru  11%
David Sherwood  Fictional 5%
Elwyn Davies Fictional  12%
Lynn Goodwin Fictional  5%
Jenny Green  Fictional 5%

As Professor Scully pointed out  at the time
It’s difficult to know what to say about some of these results. It is, I think, probably unsurprising that Nathan Gill came top, given the higher profile that his role in the Assembly election was giving him. But none of the other Welsh MEPs were selected by a greater proportion of the WES respondents that that legendary figure in Welsh politics ‘Elwyn Davies’ – whose contributions to our national political life I feel I need not elaborate upon. Even Jill Evans, who had been an MEP for Wales for almost 17 years at the time this survey was implemented, had her name selected by fewer people than chose the mysteriously popular Mr Davies. For Kay Swinburne, Conservative MEP for Wales since 2009, the picture is even worse: her name was picked out barely more than any of the false names 
When the Welsh electorate are reading the SUN or even the Daily Mirror and only watching the main BBC news then this will continue.

Of course some will remember the Welsh Mirror which was supposed to see coverage of Welsh News  after the first Assembly elections  but which some would argue was intended to reverse the growth of Plaid Cymru and which having succeeded, was quietly dropped.


But the SNP face a Scottish media which is almost totally hostile, to the extent they are Unionist propaganda machine , But the daily onslaught of SNP Bad does not sem to be working.

So maybe in Wales we would be better of with an Unionist media that at least covered Welsh News.

Thursday, 24 November 2016

Ignorance or Hypocrisy? "Welsh Labour on letting agencies.



It seems the Shadow Welsh Secretary Jo Stevens has not quite what powers have been devolved to Wales.



Tweeting n the news that Letting agents in England will be banned from charging fees to tenants under a policy announced in the Autumn Statement.



Jo Stevens MP Retweeted Mirror PoliticsIf right, it's good news for Central. We've had a 2 yr campaign against extortionate letting agency fees. Devil in the detail

Representing a constituency with a large student population she of course should be concerned about this.

However it did not long for people to point out this is a devolved issue and her colleagues in the Assembly don't be so keen.
.
In reply to Jo Stevens MP

Hi @JoStevensLabour did you know @Plaid_Cymru tried to amend Renting Homes Act to ban letting agents fees in Wales? Welsh Labour blocked.

 
12 hours agoLabour blocking 's attempts to outlaw letting agent fees now looks ridiculous: Wales will be only nation to rip tenants off


Ms Steven;s counterpart in the Assembly 
Jenny Rathbone, AM for Cardiff Central, said she was frustrated the "English government" seemed to have "stolen a march" on Wales.

Though she's on the list of those who voted against the amendment 


Never mind she has a good excuse she said she did this after being told by the Welsh Government it did not think the assembly had the power to ban the fees.
But she said she had since found out the "best legal advice" was that the assembly does hold that power.
 Finance Secretary Mark Drakeford said the context between England and Wales was "completely differed 
Mr Drakeford, said: "

"We have a different set of policies, a different set of legal frameworks here."You cannot pick up an idea and just drop it into Wales and copy it.".

If this True then it show another flaw in the Devolution Settlement , but I suspect it was opposed because it came from Plaid and Labour simply didn't want Plaid to get the credit for this
In her Tweet Jo Stevens claimed 
We've had a 2 yr campaign against extortionate letting agency fees. Devil in the detail,
If she was as involved in this campaign  as she claims then she surely would have been aware  

That this was a devolved issue
Labour in the Assembly blocked a similar move proposed by Plaid.

Ignorance or Hypocrisy? You decide.

Wednesday, 23 November 2016

More concerns raised about Circuit of Wales viability.

As I have already stated that I have a fair bit of cynicism over the viability of the Circuit of Wales but lean to taking the risk 

I am not being helped however by news in the Wasting Mule that ..

Former Economy Minister Edwina Hart ignored warnings from a senior civil servant about financial transactions which subsequently totalled almost £1m involving the controversial Circuit of Wales project, 

Freedom of Information requests from the Welsh Conservativeshave revealed that Mrs Hart ignored advice from senior civil servants to refuse payments from the publicly funded Heads of the Valleys Development Company (HOTVDC) to Aventa Capital Partners Ltd for services related to the project.

An email to Mrs Hart’s private secretary from senior civil servant James Price, now Deputy Permanent Secretary for Economy, Skills and Natural Resources, stated in July 2014 that following the Minister’s approval of a loan guarantee worth up to £4.6m, it had become clear that HOTVDC wanted to make substantial payments to Aventa, which is wholly owned by Michael Carrick.

In his email, Mr Price said: 

“In challenging Michael Carrick to evidence what these payments relate to, we are concerned about the Aventa payments, as the schedule of services provided by this company appear to relate entirely to the management of the project, including negotiating with the Welsh Government.”

Mr Price said he understood that Aventa had been engaged by HOTVDC under a service contract relating to

“fundraising, equity structuring, debt arranging and management investments”. He added: “On a simple analysis ... it appears that our loan guarantee will facilitate a very substantial payment from one company in which Michael Carrick has a significant interest to another wholly under his control. Consequently I have been resisting allowing these payments to be funded from the guaranteed loan.”

Which seems to me that it is Civil Servant speak for take care this could be dodgy as it looks like  thos involved  are .“paying themselves to advise themselves” through consultancy fees;

 Mr Price added that the chairman of the company had stated in a letter that 

if the Welsh Government did not agree to the payments then “...Directors would also have to give serious thought to the viability of the project given the loss of the key men and their own role in the company...”

Mr Price stated:
Chris Munday [another senior official] and I have discussed this concern that whilst this guarantee carries a significant risk for Welsh Government by using our guarantee to pay Aventa the result is that Michael Carrick is not sharing any of that risk. The position is further exacerbated by a lack of evidence of what the money is actually to be spent on by Aventa or the contractual basis for payment. If the Minister is content we will continue to hold this line.”
It appears that Ms Hart ignored the advice , Unfortunate she is no longer an AM  and may not be inclined to tell us why. 

Perhaps Of even greater concern is the Conservative leader  Andrew T T Davies  producing  invoices detailing several thousand pounds had been paid to Labour to sponsor events by Aventa owned by Michael Carrick (who established HOVC), suggesting it was used to access Welsh Government Minister.

Before even a penny is paid by the Welsh Assembly  we need an enquiry into the links  between Aventa and HOVC and ask if this  a responsible arrangement.


There is a danger that Wales looks so desperate to secure such projects that the Assembly  Government will look at any fly by night offer with favour.

The Circuit of Wales could be a brilliant success but recent events are surly worrying

Tuesday, 22 November 2016

Are the Lib Dems being principled or cynical in calling for another Referendum.?

The Liberal  Democrats who have may have seen a revival in Local Government Elections have not seen it  replicated  in Parliamentary polls .
[hide]Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample sizeConLabUKIPLib DemSNPGreenOthersLead
18–20 NovICM/The Guardian2,03142%28%11%9%4%3%2%14%
15–18 NovOpinium2,00541%29%12%7%6%3%1%12%
14–15 NovYouGov/The Times1,71742%28%11%8%7%[a]4%1%14%
11–14 NovIpsos MORI1,01342%33%7%10%5%[a]3%1%9%
1–4 NovOpinium2,00140%32%13%6%6%4%8%
31 Oct–1 NovYouGov/The Times1,60841%27%11%10%6%[a]4%1%14%
28–30 OctICM/The Guardian2,04043%27%12%8%4%5%1%16%
24–25 OctYouGov/The Times1,65540%27%11%11%7%[a]3%1%13%
19–24 OctBMG1,54642%28%12%8%5%4%1%14%
20 OctBy-elections in Witney and Batley & Spen
19–20 OctYouGov/Election Data1,60842%26%12%8%6%[a]5%1%16%
14–17 OctIpsos MORI1,01647%29%6%7%6%[a]4%1%18%
11–12 OctYouGov/The Times1,66942%28%11%9%6%[a]3%0%14%
7–9 OctICM/The Guardian2,01743%26%11%8%4%6%2%17%
4 OctDiane James resigns as the leader of UKIP
28–29 SepYouGov/The Times1,65839%30%13%8%6%[a]3%0%9%
24 SepJeremy Corbyn is re-elected as leader of the Labour Party
21–23 SepICM/Sun on Sunday2,01541%26%14%8%5%4%2%15%
20–23 SepBMG2,02639%28%13%8%5%5%2%11%
19–21 SepYouGov/The Times3,28539%30%13%8%6%[a]3%1%9%
16 SepDiane James is elected the leader of UKIP
13–14 SepYouGov/The Times1,73238%31%13%7%6%4%7%
10–14 SepIpsos MORI/Evening Standard1,00040%34%9%6%4%[a]5%1%6%
9–11 SepICM/The Guardian2,01341%27%14%8%5%4%2%14%
4–5 SepYouGov/The Times1,61640%29%13%7%7%[a]3%

So Lib Dems like former AM Peter Black seem to be clinging to a fantasy scenario  where they can garner votes on one issue that of Brexit 

In Peter's own words

The lay of the land is that the Tories and UKIP are committed to coming out of the European Union, the Liberal Democrats want a referendum on any deal and Labour, well Labour are all over the shop but seem to be leaning towards a soft Brexit. 

Just what impact these positions could have on the future electoral prospects of these parties has been revealed by a new poll.

The Independent reports that a YouGov survey has concluded that the Liberal Democrats could beat Labour at the next general election because of their pledge to hold a second EU referendum.
According to the survey if all the parties except the Liberal Democrats said they would press ahead with Brexit, my party would gain 22 per cent of the vote, while Labour would score just 19 per cent.
The Conservatives would come first with 39 per cent of the vote and UKIP would take 14 per cent.
They say that the results would produce a notional Tory majority in the Commons of over 100 seats, according to an electoral calculus projection of the results.
Labour, the Conservatives and UKIP have all already said they would accept the result of Brexit – while the Liberal Democrats have said they would offer a second referendum.
The stakes are very high but Tim Farron's principled position on our membership of the EU certainly has the potential to help a Liberal Democrats revival.

How principled it is to claim to be speaking for those who oppose Brexit in order to get 22% of the vote is open to question?

It seems however that the Liberal Democrats may be concerned hat their cunning plan to return to the pre-coalition days will be thwarted by Tony Blair returning to UK Poltics 

Peter writes.

Those who recall Margaret Thatcher's triumph return to the Tory Party Conference, when she announced that 'The Mummy has returned" in direct reference to a poster advertising an American action adventure fantasy film, may feel a twinge of Déjà vu at this weekend's news that Tony Blair is to re-enter politics.

The Independent says that the controversial former Prime Minister is engineering a comeback because he feels he can fill a political vacuum caused by Theresa May being a “light weight” and Jeremy Corbyn being a “nutter”. They add that Blair is sourcing premises near Westminster in order to relocate 130 staff to the UK’s political hub:
They add that a source allegedly told the Sunday Times: “He’s not impressed with Theresa May. He thinks she’s a total lightweight. He thinks Jeremy Corbyn’s a nutter and the Tories are screwing up Brexit. He thinks there’s a massive hole in British politics that he can fill.”
None of this is confirmed of course nor is their any indication as to what role Blair will seek to take up if the speculation proves to be true. 
The account in the Independent as to Blair's views on Brexit is interesting:
In October, Mr Blair called for a second Brexit referendum to be held when it becomes clearer what EU withdrawal would actually look like. He said: “If you want to retain that access to the single market there will be various obligations that are imposed upon you, in relation to the free movement of people, to legal obligations…you are going to have to work out at that point, ‘are the freedoms that we’re going to enjoy…really so substantial that we want to leave the European Union?’. 
“Another possibility is that you actually go for a much harder form of Brexit, you leave the single market altogether…then you’re going to be able to calculate, how much pain, how much difficulty, economic/social restructuring, is going to be necessary to make a success of that.”
Mr Blair added that people supporting Remain are: “the insurgents now. We have to build the capability to mobilise and to organise. We have to prise apart the alliance which gave us Brexit.”
In calling for a referendum on the terms of exit, Blair is much more in line with Liberal Democrats' thinking than that of Labour. Nevertheless, I cannot see Tim Farron picking up the phone and ringing him anytime soon.


It seems Peter is an avid independent reader, maybe because it gives him the news he wants to see
I do not want Brexit but accept that people voted for it and unless there was a clear change in the electorates opinion . I can not see how apart for Scotland and Northern Ireland we can oppose in total or call for another referendum.

I suspect that it would result in a bigger majority for leave as Remainers would  shift to leave angry that the views expressed in the first were ignored.

The only course for those of us who oppose Brexit is to see that it is as soft as possible , and to make sure it is not used to destroy Human rights or make the UK a satellite of Trumps America.

And what of Wales? It is imperative that Brexit does not lead to us to be poorer West Britons than we are now.

Our argument should be that Brexit , will mean we are that we a face a very hard future and that we should offer the Welsh Electorate either a future where  Wales rejoins the EU or at the very least will be able to form own own Trading agreements  on a Norway or Swiz model. 

Cynically calling for s a second referendum which you know you will lose , but hope will see an increase in votes and Westminster seats is not the way to fight Brexit.