Conspiracy theories over the poisoning of two people in Salisbury recently will have thrown up a number weird scenarios Rodolfo Walsh's Glasses has pointed out.
So I will make it clear that I don't subscribe to any theory that the Theory that the Tory government were responsible in order to create a conflict with Russia in order to raise their polling chances.
I do however believe that they will be looking at this as an opportunity to do so.
I am sure that Tory strategist will be looking at the events leading up to the 1983 General Election
Thatcher won because of the Falklands War. The ‘Falklands factor’ could not be clearer from opinion polls. Prior to the war of April-June 1982, the Conservative Party was slumped at a consistent 27 per cent throughout late 1981, with a slight recovery in early 1982.
But the Tories’ popularity shot up spectacularly with the war, hitting 51 per cent in May and remaining above 40 per cent right through to the general election. Labour under Michael Foot supported the government’s Falklands action; the Tory boost was not because Labour was anti-war.
It is of course not the same thing the Falklands Factor remained with Mrs Thatcher for most of her Premiership and Mrs May would have to escalate any rift with Russia if she was considering calling a General Election over this.
The May elections in England councils may well see the benefit of exploiting the Salisbury outrage.
According to Left Foot Forward
.
The problem of the Tory response is that the verdict first, evidence second response means that if the UK government find out that they are wrong in accusing Russia (especially the government there), it could be disastrous to admit it.
So whatever the Truth is over Salisbury, if it is not what our leaders are claiming it is doubtful that it will emerge from government sources.
Which of course will lead to even more wacky conspiracy theories. Which may lead to them cancelling each other out .
Which just may be what the movement want.
Oh dear! Is that that's my conspiracy theory?
So I will make it clear that I don't subscribe to any theory that the Theory that the Tory government were responsible in order to create a conflict with Russia in order to raise their polling chances.
I do however believe that they will be looking at this as an opportunity to do so.
I am sure that Tory strategist will be looking at the events leading up to the 1983 General Election
Thatcher won because of the Falklands War. The ‘Falklands factor’ could not be clearer from opinion polls. Prior to the war of April-June 1982, the Conservative Party was slumped at a consistent 27 per cent throughout late 1981, with a slight recovery in early 1982.
Tories Lab Lib/Dem Alliance
| OP/Daily Mail | 1982-02-05 | 41 | 36 | 21 | 5 |
| MORI | 1982-01-31* | 30 | 33 | 34 | -4 |
| MORI | 1982-01-25 | 29 | 30 | 40 | -11 |
| Gallup/Telegraph | 1982-01-18 | 27.5 | 29.5 | 39.5 | -12 |
| Gallup/Telegraph | 1981-12-14 | 23 | 23.5 | 50.5 | -27.5 |
| MORI | 1981-12-14 | 27 | 29 | 43 | -16 |
| NOP | 1981-12-03 | 30.5 | 34.3 | 33.1 | -3.8 |
| MORI | 1981-12-01 | 27 | 27 | 44 | -17 |
| NOP | 1981-12-01 | 28.6 | 32.1 | 37.1 | -8.5 |
| Gallup/Telegraph | 1981-11-16 | 26.5 | 29 | 42 | -15.5 |
| NOP | 1981-11-06 | 29.2 | 38.2 | 30.6 | -9 |
But the Tories’ popularity shot up spectacularly with the war, hitting 51 per cent in May and remaining above 40 per cent right through to the general election. Labour under Michael Foot supported the government’s Falklands action; the Tory boost was not because Labour was anti-war.
It is of course not the same thing the Falklands Factor remained with Mrs Thatcher for most of her Premiership and Mrs May would have to escalate any rift with Russia if she was considering calling a General Election over this.
The May elections in England councils may well see the benefit of exploiting the Salisbury outrage.
According to Left Foot Forward
.
The front line in this case is the May local elections, including polls in the 32 London boroughs where the Tories fear they are in for a drubbing.
But at a training session last week for new candidates in one of those boroughs the very first question was about how to respond on the doorstep to perceptions that the Labour leader is soft on the Kremlin.
The problem of the Tory response is that the verdict first, evidence second response means that if the UK government find out that they are wrong in accusing Russia (especially the government there), it could be disastrous to admit it.
So whatever the Truth is over Salisbury, if it is not what our leaders are claiming it is doubtful that it will emerge from government sources.
Which of course will lead to even more wacky conspiracy theories. Which may lead to them cancelling each other out .
Which just may be what the movement want.
Oh dear! Is that that's my conspiracy theory?
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