National Left - Wales needs a progressive left future.
Wednesday, 11 December 2013
Labour set to dominate Welsh Politics for now.
There's a Interesting YouGov pol in the
Mule that shows Labours Hegemony in Wales seemingly unchallenged for the next three elections here
46% +10 33+7
21% -5 3-5
12% -12 2-1
% 12% +1 2-1
Constituency Region Seats
43 +1 40+3 30 Np change
19-6 19-3.5 11-3
20 +1 15-3 9-2
9-2 9+1 5 - No Change
7 10 5 +5
Such a result would see Labour taking three of the four Welsh seats – up two from 2009 – with the other going to the Conservatives. Both Plaid Cymru and Ukip would lose the seats they currently hold.
There are some oddities in the Polls Plaid usually do better in the Regional vote for the Assembly yet although its Constituency vote rose slightly its regional vote fell.
You would expect with 10% of the potential vote in the General Election Ukip would do better than 13% in the European Elections.
But it is clear that "Welsh" Labours policy of do nothing and blame everything on Westminster is working
The dificultiy for Plaid in particular is to expose this but with papers like the Mule seemingly complacent with Labour here its going to be a struggle.
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